Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 17

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Volendam		Almere City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.45
	2.78	3.55	2.42
	2.82	3.62	2.52
	2.82	3.62	2.52
	2.62	3.5	2.3
	2.78	3.62	2.41	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.58)	3.58 ↓ (3.63)	2.43 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
34.3%

Draw
26.5%

Almere City
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.1%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

26%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Volendam - Almere City Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Almere City will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volendam: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Backhaus M. (G) 31. Mbuyamba X. (C) 4. Mirani D. 7. Booth Z. 2. Buur O. 36. de Haan M. 6. Benamar B. 17. Twigt C. 5. Cox G. 11. Ould-Chikh B. 21. Muhren R.	1. Bakker N. (G) 3. Jacobs Jo. 4. van Bruggen D. 22. Barbet T. 2. Floranus S. (C) 28. Resink S. 15. Koopmeiners P. 19. Cathline Y. 9. Robinet T. 27. van La Parra R. 17. Hansen K.
Substitutes
24. Douiri A. 28. Flint J. 27. Hoeve Q. 14. Kuol G. 22. Lauwers B. (G) 8. Le Roux L. 3. Plat B. 46. van der Horst M. 48. van Driel B. 20. van Oevelen K. (G) 25. Zeefuik L.	20. Akujobi H. 21. Corryn M. 36. Esajas M. 11. Kitala Y. 5. Mbe Soh L. 6. Pena A. 8. Post D. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 23. Royo M. 18. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 7. van Duiven J.
Coaches
Simons R.	Pastoor A.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volendam won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Volendam could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Volendam have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Volendam won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 42-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Volendam won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Club Friendly
08.01.24	Winterthur - Volendam	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
16.12.23	Heerenveen - Volendam	1:2 ✺
07.12.23	Feyenoord - Volendam	3:1 ✺
02.12.23	Volendam - Zwolle	0:5 ✺
26.11.23	AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLLL
- Almere City FC
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.12.23	Katwijk - Almere City	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.12.23	Almere City - Vitesse	5:0 ✺
09.12.23	AZ Alkmaar - Almere City	4:1 ✺
01.12.23	Heerenveen - Almere City	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Almere City - Heracles Almelo	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.12.21	Almere City - Volendam	2:3
01.10.21	Volendam - Almere City	3:2
03.03.21	Almere City - Volendam	1:2
27.11.20	Volendam - Almere City	2:2
08.09.19	Almere City - Volendam	1:0
13.01.19	Almere City - Volendam	0:2
12.10.18	Volendam - Almere City	2:2

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