Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Perez M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	12:15	ESPN 3


	Waalwijk		Volendam

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.90	3.90	Watch
	1.87	3.80	3.30
	1.93	3.80	3.10	Watch
	1.85	4.15	3.78
	2.02	3.9	3.2	Watch
	1.80	4.10	3.70
	1.80	3.90	3.90	Watch
	1.86	3.80	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.04)	3.92 (3.92)	3.53 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
49.9%

Draw
23.7%

Volendam
26.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.8%

23.8%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Waalwijk - Volendam Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schiks N. (G) 33. Al Mazyani F. 4. van Gelderen L. 30. de Wijs J. (C) 5. Familia-Castillo J. 6. Postma L. 22. van de Loo T. 7. Fage R. 93. Misidjan V. 20. Varela K. 9. van de Haar J.	1. Jurjus H. (G) 18. Bukala N. 25. Blondeau L. 3. Amevor M. 2. Ugwu P. 8. Huisman D. 10. Niemeijer R. 6. Plat A. 7. Doodeman N. 9. Veerman H. (C) 21. el Meftahi Y.
Substitutes
25. Bakboord N. 24. Dkidak A. 55. Held N. 17. Kuijpers R. 13. Mulder X. (G) 8. Nap J. 16. Spenkelink M. (G) 27. Stokkers F. 3. van der Plas S. 11. van der Veen Y. 19. van Gemert H. 18. van Hedel R.	34. Belfqih M. 5. Bisschops D. 63. Haakmat J. 67. Ihler F. 17. Opoku M. 12. Payne D. 16. Steur R. (G) 46. van der Horst M. 22. Vlak D. (G) 11. Wolff K.
Coaches
Duits S.	van de Looi E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Niemeijer R. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),
24', Plat A. 🟨,
39', Huisman D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Plat A. ↓, Payne D. ↑,
61', Fage R. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
70', Bukala N. 🟨,
70', Varela K. ↓, Dkidak A. ↑,
71', Misidjan V. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
76', el Meftahi Y. ↓, Bisschops D. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, van der Veen Y. ⚽,
84', Doodeman N. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
84', van de Loo T. ↓, Nap J. ↑,
84', van de Haar J. ↓, Held N. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 10th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Waalwijk holding a narrow advantage.

Doubtful / questionable for Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B. (Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Waalwijk has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:30 (averaging 1.4:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Waalwijk against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:18 goals (averaging 2:2.3 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FC Volendam	12	6	1	5	29:20	9	19
11	Waalwijk	12	3	7	2	21:17	4	16

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Waalwijk: 4.6% FC Volendam: 4.6%

Last Results with these Odds

Waalwijk - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.77%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.10.26	Heracles Almelo - Waalwijk	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Waalwijk - Emmen	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Roda - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht	6:1 ✺
11.09.26	Jong Ajax - Waalwijk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWW
- FC Volendam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.10.26	Volendam - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Almere City - Volendam	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Volendam - VVV-Venlo	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Volendam - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.26	Waalwijk - Volendam	2:2
Dutch Eredivisie
07.04.24	Volendam - Waalwijk	3:2
21.10.23	Waalwijk - Volendam	2:1
05.05.23	Waalwijk - Volendam	4:1
14.01.23	Volendam - Waalwijk	2:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.02.19	Waalwijk - Volendam	3:3
05.10.18	Volendam - Waalwijk	1:0

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