Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 18

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	Volendam		Jong AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.48	5	5
	1.43	4.8	5.25
	1.45	5.5	5.5	Watch
	1.47	5.21	5.7
	1.48	4.96	5.34	Watch
	1.4	4.8	5.5
	1.48	4.95	5.34	Watch
	1.45	5.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)	5.09 ↑ (4.48)	5.39 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
64.3%

Draw
18.4%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

20.9%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

20%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Volendam - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: Volendam will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. van Oevelen K. (G) 12. Payne D. 4. Mbuyamba X. 3. Amevor M. 32. Leliendal Y. 36. de Haan M. 6. Plat A. 7. Ould-Chikh B. 21. Muhren R. 11. Oehlers A. 9. Veerman H. (C)	1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 2. van Aken J. 3. Berkhout J. (C) 4. Schouten L. 5. Engel M. 6. Kalisvaart J. 7. Addai J. 8. Kwakman D. 9. Zeefuik L. 10. Gerold J. 11. Daal R.
Substitutes
25. Blondeau L. 15. Bouziane A. 18. Bukala N. 23. Curiel G. 77. Demircioglu C. 27. Hoeve Q. 22. Lauwers B. (G) 19. Mau-Asam M. 16. Ngom K. (G) 14. Steur D.	22. Dekkers S. 16. Kuijsten T. (G) 18. Lenssen L. 12. Menu M. 15. Olofsson W. 23. Oud J. 17. Oulhaj A. 21. Robbemond R. 19. Smits A. 24. Splinter I. 14. van Duijl B. 20. van Duijn S.
Coaches
Kruys R.	Echteld L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, de Haan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oehlers A. ↓, Mau-Asam M. ↑,
47', Mau-Asam M. 🟨,
62', Kwakman D. ↓, Dekkers S. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Veerman H. ⚽, Ould-Chikh B. (A),
76', Payne D. 🟨,
81', Engel M. ↓, Splinter I. ↑,
81', Daal R. ↓, van Duijn S. ↑,
81', Zeefuik L. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
88', Veerman H. ↓, Hoeve Q. ↑,
88', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, Bukala N. ↑,
88', Berkhout J. ↓, van Duijl B. ↑,
90+2', de Haan M. ↓, Bouziane A. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volendam won 4.

Volendam is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jong AZ is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Volendam is certain favorite.

There will not play in Jong AZ: Owusu-Oduro R. (Injury) Stam F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Jong AZ: Twisk N. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Volendam to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Volendam won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23:10 (average 2.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Volendam won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:6 (average 2.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.11.24	Roda - Volendam	1:1 ✺
25.11.24	Volendam - Jong Ajax	3:0 ✺
22.11.24	Jong PSV - Volendam	1:4 ✺
08.11.24	Volendam - Jong Utrecht	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Telstar - Volendam	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWWT
- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.12.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht	2:3 ✺
25.11.24	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
22.11.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag	3:3 ✺
08.11.24	VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
01.11.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.02.22	Volendam - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1
22.10.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	0:1
12.05.21	Volendam - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1
19.10.20	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	2:6
10.02.20	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	1:1
25.10.19	Volendam - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:2
04.03.19	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	1:1

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