Match Info

FNL - Round 17

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)

Referee: Galimov Y. (Rus)


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.99	3.23	2.35	Watch
	3.56	3.26	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.75)	3.25 ↑ (3.06)	2.24 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
28.8%

Draw
29.1%

Rodina Moscow
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

31.2%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

31.2%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 4. Ibragimov K. 30. Khabibullin A. 99. Kostin A. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 7. Murza A. 28. Novikov D. 29. Shagiakhmetov R. 27. Umnikov M. 10. Uridia G. 37. Voronin E.	13. Volkov S. (G) 24. Biryukov A. 3. Goglichidze L. 20. Kontsevoy A. 55. Krizan M. 9. Maksimenko A. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 38. Musaev L. 10. Reyna Y. 88. Sokol A. 99. Timoshenko I.
Substitutes
90. Folmer K. 17. Gershun I. 77. Gutsa A. 9. Kamenshchikov D. 82. Larionov K. 91. Molodtsov A. 87. Pshennikov E. 8. Rakhmanov D. 22. Rakhmanov D. 19. Rudenko V. 86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 14. Yakovlev V.	1. Aydarov S. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 49. Dyatlov I. 5. Egorychev A. 6. Fishchenko R. 72. Gordyushenko A. 7. Gueye P. 77. Koryan A. 52. Kuzmichev I. 58. Ladokha D. (G) 23. Ushatov K.
Coaches
Belov M.	Diaz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Reyna Y. (Pen),
37', Voronin E. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
45+1', 0 - 2, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Murza A. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
61', Uridia G. ↓, Folmer K. ↑,
61', Khabibullin A. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
67', Biryukov A. ↓, Dyatlov I. ↑,
67', Timoshenko I. ↓, Egorychev A. ↑,
69', Krasilnichenko O. 🟨,
73', Shagiakhmetov R. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Kamenshchikov D. ⚽,
79', Kontsevoy A. ↓, Gordyushenko A. ↑,
86', Maksimenko A. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
86', Reyna Y. ↓, Kuzmichev I. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Volga Ulyanovsk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rodina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Volga Ulyanovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rodina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Volga Ulyanovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Volga Ulyanovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Rodina Moscow - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.37%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Sokol Saratov - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Ufa	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:4 ✺
04.10.25	Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLT
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
26.10.25	Rodina Moscow - Rotor	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	KAMAZ - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Rodina Moscow - Chelyabinsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Rodina Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
27.05.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow	0:1
Club Friendly
19.02.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow	1:4
Russian FNL
06.11.22	Rodina Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1

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