Match Info

FNL - Round 21

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)

Referee: Karpov Y. (Rus)


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Ural

	1	X	2
	4.34	3.77	1.92
	4.46	3.59	1.77	Watch
	4	3.4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↓ (4.65)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)	1.8 (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
21.9%

Draw
26.1%

Ural
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

26.4%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

25.8%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Volga Ulyanovsk - Ural Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Volga Ulyanovsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 3. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Ibragimov K. 15. Kokoev D. 99. Kostin A. 8. Rakhmanov D. 90. Folmer K. 28. Novikov D. 27. Umnikov M. 17. Gershun I. 9. Kamenshchikov D. (C)	57. Selikhov A. (G) 2. Begic S. (C) 4. Bardachev M. 16. Italo 14. Zheleznov Y. 37. Bondarev V. 13. Akbashev R. 11. Karapuzov V. 44. Malkevich V. 22. Leo Cordeiro 50. Voronov M.
Substitutes
77. Gutsa A. 92. Kasyanov I. 20. Kovalev K. 91. Molodtsov A. 7. Murza A. 87. Pshennikov E. 22. Rakhmanov D. 19. Rudenko V. 86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 10. Uridia G. 14. Yakovlev V.	5. Ayupov T. 24. Filipenko E. 97. Ishkov I. 59. Kharin E. 86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 46. Mamin A. 34. Margasov T. 20. Markov E. 17. Miguel G. 18. Morozov N. 42. Mosin E. 6. Sungatulin F.
Coaches
Belov M.	Romashchenko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Bondarev V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bondarev V. ↓, Sungatulin F. ↑,
46', Karapuzov V. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
69', Gershun I. ↓, Uridia G. ↑,
75', Leo Cordeiro ↓, Ayupov T. ↑,
75', Akbashev R. ↓, Ishkov I. ↑,
82', Voronov M. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
82', Kamenshchikov D. ↓, Rudenko V. ↑,
83', Novikov D. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
86', Morozov N. 🟨,
90+1', Ishkov I. 🟨,
90+2', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Molodtsov A. ↑,
90+2', Uridia G. ↓, Kasyanov I. ↑,
90+3', Rudenko V. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Recent performances by Volga Ulyanovsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ural is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ural may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ural is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Volga Ulyanovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Volga Ulyanovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
21.11.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	KAMAZ - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Sokol Saratov - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLL
- FK Ural
Russian FNL
22.11.25	Ural - Spartak Kostroma	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ural	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Ural	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Ural - Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Ural - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
25.08.25	Ural - Volga Ulyanovsk	4:0
Russian Cup
16.09.20	Volga Ulyanovsk - Ural	0:3

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