Match Info

FNL - Round 14

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Yekaterinburg Arena (Yekaterinburg)


	Ural		Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6.83
	1.51	3.89	6.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.76)	3.95 ↑ (3.45)	6.77 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural
62.1%

Draw
23.9%

Chelyabinsk
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

27.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

30%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ural's performance.

Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelyabinsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Ural - Chelyabinsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ural (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ural (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Selikhov A. (G) 5. Ayupov T. 4. Bardachev M. 2. Begic S. 97. Ishkov I. 16. Italo 11. Karapuzov V. 34. Margasov T. 10. Sekulic M. 6. Sungatulin F. 14. Zheleznov Y.	93. Tuseev I. (G) 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 5. Gatin B. 66. Gudkov Y. 18. Kertanov K. 27. Kochiev K. 70. Levin G. 77. Samoilov D. 29. Urvantsev M. 75. Zhamaletdinov T. 2. Zhirov A. (C)
Substitutes
37. Bondarev V. 59. Kharin E. 74. Kiselev D. 86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 22. Leo Cordeiro 44. Malkevich V. 46. Mamin A. 20. Markov E. 17. Miguel G. 18. Morozov N. 42. Mosin E.	33. Agaev A. 23. Emelyanov D. 22. Gapechkin A. 19. Komissarov T. 7. Malyarov N. 63. Nikitenkov A. 11. Nosov A. 14. Palkin V. 15. Pushkarev D. 1. Zadiraka V. (G)
Coaches
Romashchenko M.	Pilipchuk R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Sekulic M. ⚽,
25', Begic S. 🟨,
45+1', Sungatulin F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ishkov I. ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
48', Karapuzov V. ↓, Kharin E. ↑,
59', Zhamaletdinov T. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
59', Zhamaletdinov T. 🟨,
59', Sungatulin F. ↓, Bondarev V. ↑,
60', Margasov T. ↓, Malkevich V. ↑,
76', Ayupov T. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
77', Urvantsev M. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
90+1', Zheleznov Y. 🟨,
90+4', Nosov A. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Ural has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chelyabinsk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ural is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ural won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural
Russian FNL
01.11.25	Ural - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Arsenal Tula - Ural	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ural	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
16.10.25	Fakel - Ural	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
06.10.25	KAMAZ - Ural	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLL
- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL
01.11.25	Shinnik - Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
28.10.25	Chelyabinsk - KAMAZ	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Chelyabinsk - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Rodina Moscow - Chelyabinsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
21.09.16	Chelyabinsk - Ural	0:3

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