The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Volgar Astrakhan 31.6%
Draw 27.8%
Ufa 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
28.6%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
27.9%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volgar Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volgar Astrakhan's form might have worsened.
Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ufa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volgar Astrakhan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ufa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Volgar Astrakhan - Ufa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yampolskiy V. (G) 77. Druzhinin I. 6. Krivokhizhin E. 17. Lesnikov D. 78. Melnikov D. 19. Prudnikov N. 90. Shcherbakov A. 9. Tatarinov E. 18. Volkov V. 58. Zuev I. 23. Zuykov S. (C)
1. Baklov O. (G) 27. Anisimov A. 15. Bocherov V. 10. Gystarov R. 8. Isaev S. 62. Karpov V. 4. Kornyushin D. 11. Lozhkin V. 97. Pasevich R. 89. Stotsky D. 45. Tenyaev A. (C)
Substitutes
69. Anosov D. 88. Mironov D. 7. Pavlishin A. 24. Pogosov A. 10. Smirnov D. 99. Smirnov O. (G) 3. Tagiyev Aly A.
88. Ageyan M. 40. Chernov A. (G) 93. Garaev V. 18. Gurenko A. 21. Matskharashvili N. 7. Perchenok A. 38. Zakharov G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Anisimov A. 🟨,
34', Shcherbakov A. 🟨,
44', Zuykov S. ↓, Tagiyev Aly A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
87', 1 - 0, Mironov D. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, Gurenko A. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Lesnikov D. (Pen),
1, Matskharashvili N. (Pen),
2, Pavlishin A. (Pen),
2, Tenyaev A. (Pen),
3, Druzhinin I. (Pen),
3, Pasevich R. (Pen),
4, Anosov D. (Pen),
4, Kornyushin D. (Pen),
5, Volkov V. (Pen),
5, Perchenok A. (Pen),
Preview
Volgar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ufa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Ufa have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Volgar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Volgar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.