Match Info

BRAZIL: CARIOCA - TACA GUANABARA - ROUND 8

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Volta Redonda		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.8
	4.5	3.5	1.78	Watch
	4.4	3.35	1.83
	4.67	3.51	1.75
	3.6	3.25	1.85
	4.4	3.5	1.77
	4.1	3.4	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.75)	3.43 ↑ (3.38)	1.79 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
21.6%

Draw
26.9%

Botafogo RJ
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

27.5%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Volta Redonda - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Paulo Henrique (G) 20. Augusto 5. Bruno Barra (C) 15. Danrley 9. Italo 14. Leo Silva 11. MV 8. Robinho 6. Sanchez Costa 23. Vinicius Moura 2. Wellington Silva	1. Fernandez R. (G) 20. Barboza A. 15. Bastos 33. Carlos Eduardo 16. Hugo 17. Marlon Freitas (C) 4. Ponte M. 10. Savarino J. 6. Tche Tche 9. Tiquinho Soares 7. Victor Sa
Substitutes
1. Avelino (G) 28. Berguinho 19. Cristiano 27. Erik 21. Henrique Silva 10. Julio Cesar 22. Juninho 7. Lucas Oliveira 16. Marco Gabriel 3. Michel 25. Raphinha 30. Thiago Alagoano	5. Danilo Barbosa 77. Diego Hernandez 18. Emerson Urso 52. Igo Gabriel (G) 39. Janderson 38. Jefferson Maciel 11. Junior Santos 25. Kaue 99. Luiz Henrique 90. Matheus Nascimento 28. Newton 75. Rai
Coaches
Felipe Loureiro	Tiago Nunes

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volta Redonda won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Botafogo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Volta Redonda have a series of guest games.

In this match Botafogo is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Volta Redonda won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Volta Redonda won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
10.02.24	Flamengo - Volta Redonda	3:0 ✺
07.02.24	Bangu - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda	0:2 ✺
01.02.24	Volta Redonda - Audax Rio	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Madureira - Volta Redonda	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWWL
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
07.02.24	Flamengo - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Botafogo RJ - Nova Iguaçu	2:2 ✺
30.01.24	Botafogo RJ - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Botafogo RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0 ✺
24.01.24	Boavista - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
19.01.23	Volta Redonda - Botafogo RJ	1:2
07.03.22	Botafogo RJ - Volta Redonda	5:0
10.04.21	Volta Redonda - Botafogo RJ	2:2
18.01.20	Volta Redonda - Botafogo RJ	1:0
02.03.19	Volta Redonda - Botafogo RJ	1:0
11.03.18	Volta Redonda - Botafogo RJ	1:1
09.03.17	Botafogo RJ - Volta Redonda	1:0

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