Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Waalwijk		ADO Den Haag

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.57	Watch
	4.83	4.55	1.62
	6.14	2.72	1.86	Watch
	4.62	4.3	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↑ (3.47)	3.94 ↑ (3.93)	1.67 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
18.8%

Draw
24.2%

ADO Den Haag
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

24%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

24.3%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waalwijk's form might have worsened.

ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADO Den Haag's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waalwijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Spenkelink M. (G) 27. Altena J. 35. Postma L. 4. van Gelderen L. (C) 15. Wouters L. 7. Cleonise D. 6. Roemeratoe G. 8. van Kaam D. 18. van Hedel R. 10. van der Venne R. 9. Uneken J.	1. Nikiema K. (G) 2. van der Sloot S. 45. Tomas D. 4. Waem M. 18. Sylla S. 25. Kilo J. 8. Vlak J. (C) 21. Peupion C. 11. Rottier E. 26. de Ruijter I. 23. Bal J.
Substitutes
5. Familia-Castillo J. 55. Held N. 29. Kramer M. 17. Kuijpers R. 20. Kuster H. 13. Mulder X. (G) 24. Panneflek O. 11. van der Leij T. 31. Vogels L. (G) 25. Witteveen M.	35. Bergtop S. 30. Brandt J. 16. de Bruin F. 14. Jimenez M. 29. Kramer C. (G) 5. Kreekels M. 12. Lanquetin P. 24. Lejoly A. (G) 19. Reischl L. 49. Silva-Richards R. 27. Thomas N. 7. van Mieghem D.
Coaches
Duits S.	Peter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Uneken J. ⚽, Held N. (A),
39', Kilo J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Bal J. ⚽, Waem M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Uneken J. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
58', Peupion C. ↓, van Mieghem D. ↑,
58', Bal J. ↓, Reischl L. ↑,
58', de Ruijter I. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
67', Kilo J. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
69', Cleonise D. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
69', van Kaam D. ↓, Kuster H. ↑,
70', van Hedel R. ↓, Witteveen M. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Reischl L. ⚽, van Mieghem D. (A),
80', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, van der Sloot S. ⚽, Thomas N. (A),
87', Rottier E. ↓, de Bruin F. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.

Waalwijk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Den Haag is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Den Haag is the team to beat.

There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: Lokesa C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.09.25	Roda - Waalwijk	1:4 ✺
16.09.25	Waalwijk - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Jong Utrecht - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Waalwijk - Almere City	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	FC Eindhoven - Waalwijk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLWL
- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.09.25	ADO Den Haag - Almere City	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Jong Ajax - ADO Den Haag	1:3 ✺
12.09.25	FC Eindhoven - ADO Den Haag	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Zwolle	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
18.01.22	Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag	4:2 ET
Dutch Eredivisie
27.02.21	ADO Den Haag - Waalwijk	0:0
09.01.21	Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag	0:1
19.01.20	ADO Den Haag - Waalwijk	2:0
25.08.19	Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag	0:3
09.03.14	Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag	1:1
14.12.13	ADO Den Haag - Waalwijk	1:2

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