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Current Win Probability
Jong Ajax 15.6%
Draw 19.9%
ADO Den Haag 64.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.7%
22.8%
54.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
22.5%
55.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Ajax's form might have worsened.
ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADO Den Haag's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.5%
0%
89.5%
Jong Ajax - ADO Den Haag Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Den Haag (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
ADO Den Haag will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ADO Den Haag will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Heerkens J. (G) 2. Appiah A. (C) 3. Alders G. 4. Johnson J. 5. de Falco S. 7. Messori L. 6. van der Vaart D. 11. O'Niel D. 10. Bounida R. 8. Wolff K. 9. Konadu D.
1. Nikiema K. (G) 2. van der Sloot S. 15. Hokke M. 4. Waem M. 18. Sylla S. 25. Kilo J. 8. Vlak J. (C) 21. Peupion C. 11. Rottier E. 26. de Ruijter I. 23. Bal J.
Substitutes
21. Kalokoh D. 15. Kasanwirjo K. 20. Ouazane Z. 18. Peters T. 17. Romers T. 12. Setford C. (G) 16. van der Lans M. 19. Vink S.
16. de Bruin F. 14. Jimenez M. 29. Kramer C. (G) 5. Kreekels M. 12. Lanquetin P. 31. Payne D. 35. Puljhun S. 28. Radford C. (G) 19. Reischl L. 49. Silva-Richards R. 27. Thomas N. 45. Tomas D.
Coaches
Weijs W.
Peter R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Waem M. ⚽, Kilo J. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Rottier E. ⚽, Vlak J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Alders G. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Bal J. ⚽,
61', Sylla S. ↓, Kreekels M. ↑,
61', Bal J. ↓, Reischl L. ↑,
65', Messori L. ↓, van der Lans M. ↑,
65', Wolff K. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
65', de Falco S. ↓, Peters T. ↑,
67', Waem M. ↓, Tomas D. ↑,
68', Vlak J. ↓, de Bruin F. ↑,
76', O'Niel D. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
82', de Ruijter I. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Ouazane Z. ⚽, Konadu D. (A),
84', Reischl L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.
Recent performances by Jong Ajax have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Den Haag is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Den Haag is the team to beat.
There will not play in Jong Ajax: Gooijer T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Jong Ajax: O'Niel D.
(Injury)
van de Pavert R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Den Haag: Thomas N.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
Netherlands
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Heerkens J. (G) 
Bounida R. 
Nikiema K. (G) 
Sylla S. 
Kilo J. 
Peupion C. 
Ouazane Z. 
Setford C. (G) 
Lanquetin P. 
Puljhun S. 
Reischl L. 
Silva-Richards R. 
Thomas N. 
Peter R. 
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