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Current Win Probability
Waalwijk 41%
Draw 27.2%
Willem II 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
28.2%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
28.7%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Waalwijk - Willem II Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Willem II will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 64.6% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Willem II (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 50%). Willem II (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van Osch Y. (G) 55. Held N. 35. Postma L. 4. van Gelderen L. (C) 5. Familia-Castillo J. 18. van Hedel R. 6. Roemeratoe G. 7. Cleonise D. 20. Kuster H. 12. Fage R. 9. Uneken J.
1. Didillon Hodl T. (G) 3. Stam F. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. (C) 22. van Loon P. 7. Doodeman N. 8. Twigt C. 6. Besselink G. 11. Culum A. 9. Haen D. 47. Baartmans S.
Substitutes
19. Bakboord N. 14. Boetius J-P. 26. Bramel T. (G) 29. Kramer M. 21. Schaapman M. 16. Spenkelink M. (G) 30. van der Veen Y. 10. van der Venne R. 8. van Kaam D. 25. Witteveen M.
23. Abildgaard L. 17. Bamba S. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 20. El Allouchi M. 15. Et Taibi A. 14. Mathijsen J. 48. Poortvliet J. 24. Tjoe a On N. 19. van Aalst U. 21. van der Steen W. (G) 45. van Esdonk J. 28. Verheydt T.
Coaches
Duits S.
Stegeman J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kuster H. ↓, Bakboord N. ↑,
46', Fage R. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
47', Postma L. 🟨,
55', Uneken J. 🟨,
60', Uneken J. 🟥,
63', 0 - 1, Roemeratoe G. (Own goal),
70', Cleonise D. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
75', Haen D. ↓, El Allouchi M. ↑,
75', van Loon P. ↓, Tjoe a On N. ↑,
75', Culum A. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
81', van Hedel R. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
83', Bamba S. 🟨,
83', Kramer M. 🟨,
86', Baartmans S. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
Waalwijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Willem II is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
Netherlands
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van Osch Y. (G) 
Held N. 
van Gelderen L. (C) 
Familia-Castillo J. 
Fage R. 
Behounek R. 
Culum A. 
Abildgaard L. 
Bamba S. 
Et Taibi A. 
Tjoe a On N. 
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