Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk)


	Waalwijk		Cambuur

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.8	2.55
	2.42	3.7	2.58
	3.19	2.40	2.85	Watch
	2.36	3.84	2.53
	2.46	3.85	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.32)	3.52 ↓ (3.82)	2.59 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
36.8%

Draw
26.8%

Cambuur
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

23.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

24.1%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Waalwijk - Cambuur Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Cambuur will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Spenkelink M. (C) 27. Altena J. 35. Postma L. 15. Wouters L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 20. Kuster H. 21. Schaapman M. 25. Witteveen M. 8. van Kaam D. 11. van der Leij T. 17. Kuijpers R.	21. Meijster J. (G) 27. Kooistra W. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 46. Nap J. 18. Rolke T. 10. Diemers M. (C) 7. Balk R. 13. Binder N. 30. van der Veen Y.
Substitutes
7. Cleonise D. 55. Held N. 29. Kramer M. 13. Mulder X. (G) 24. Panneflek O. 9. Uneken J. 3. van Eijma R. 31. Vogels L. (G) 2. Zorgdrager B.	43. Bakkati A. 3. Berkhout J. 26. Ferrah I. 19. Henstra I. 24. Jonker T. 31. Kalisvaart M. 25. Marsman B. 11. Sjostrand O. 8. Souren N. 14. van der Sande J. 9. Visser K.
Coaches
Duits S.	de Jong H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, van der Leij T. ⚽, Kuijpers R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Binder N. ↓, Ferrah I. ↑,
46', Schaapman M. ↓, Panneflek O. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Familia-Castillo J. ⚽, Altena J. (A),
52', 2 - 1, Rolke T. ⚽, van der Veen Y. (A),
56', 2 - 2, Diemers M. (Pen),
59', van der Veen Y. ↓, Sjostrand O. ↑,
59', Baouf I. ↓, Berkhout J. ↑,
61', Kuijpers R. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
61', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, Held N. ↑,
66', Diemers M. ↓, Souren N. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Held N. ⚽, Altena J. (A),
78', Balk R. 🟨,
81', Witteveen M. ↓, van Eijma R. ↑,
81', Amofa J. ↓, van der Sande J. ↑,
87', Kuster H. ↓, Zorgdrager B. ↑,
90+1', Rolke T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3.

Waalwijk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Cambuur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Waalwijk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 2.1:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Cambuur - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Waalwijk - Cambuur	4:2 ✺
20.10.25	Dordrecht - Waalwijk	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Waalwijk - Willem II	2:3 ✺
03.10.25	Den Bosch - Waalwijk	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Waalwijk - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLTW
- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Waalwijk - Cambuur	4:2 ✺
17.10.25	Almere City - Cambuur	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Cambuur - De Graafschap	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Cambuur - Emmen	3:2 ✺
29.09.25	Roda - Cambuur	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Waalwijk - Cambuur	4:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.24	Waalwijk - Cambuur	4:1
Dutch Eredivisie
28.05.23	Cambuur - Waalwijk	4:0
17.09.22	Waalwijk - Cambuur	5:1
06.05.22	Cambuur - Waalwijk	1:1
31.10.21	Waalwijk - Cambuur	0:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.20	Waalwijk - Cambuur	2:3 penalties

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