Match Info

League Two - Round 25

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Bescot Stadium (Walsall)

Referee: Wright P. (Eng)


	Walsall		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.75
	2.48	3.25	2.78
	2.53	3.41	2.82
	2.54	3.29	2.68	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	2.45	3.28	2.73	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.95)	3.3 ↑ (3.23)	2.93 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walsall
39.3%

Draw
28.5%

Fleetwood Town
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.4%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

27.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Walsall's form might have worsened.

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fleetwood Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Walsall - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Walsall will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Walsall: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Walsall (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hornby S. (G) 6. Farquharson P. 4. Flint A. (C) 30. Weir E. 14. Comley B. 25. Okeke J. 8. Lakin C. 22. Jellis J. 18. Harper V. 19. Pressley A. 15. Kanu D.	13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 35. Haughey C. 5. Potter F. 20. Neal H. 16. Ennis E. 6. Bonds E. (C) 10. Helm M. 24. Clark M. 17. Evans C. 9. Davies W.
Substitutes
37. Adomah A. 17. Clarke C. 21. Kilroy J. (G) 35. Lopata K. 11. Loupalo-Bi A. 9. Matt J. 23. Pattison A.	29. Devonport O. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 32. Hughes K. 38. McLean C. 7. Osong D. E. 22. Powell J. 8. Virtue-Thick M.
Coaches
Sadler M. J.	Lawlor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Helm M. ⚽, Ennis E. (A),
41', Rooney S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Lakin C. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
62', Davies W. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
68', Harper V. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
68', Pressley A. ↓, Matt J. ↑,
69', Helm M. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
79', Jellis J. ↓, Pattison A. ↑,
79', Kanu D. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
89', Evans C. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,

Preview

Postponed due to frozen pitch.

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Walsall is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Walsall: Burke H. (Knee Injury) Farquharson P. (Inactive) Hancock M. (Knee Injury) Roofe K. (Inactive) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Inactive) Holgate H. (Hamstring Injury) Hume D. (Inactive) Johnson W. (Inactive) Norwood J. (Inactive) Roberts L. (Inactive) Rooney S. (Foot Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Walsall: 4.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Walsall	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14
18	Fleetwood	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Walsall - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.07%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walsall FC
English League Two
28.02.26	Shrewsbury Town - Walsall	1:2 ✺
23.02.26	Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Grimsby Town - Walsall	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Walsall - Barnet	1:3 ✺
03.02.26	Bristol Rovers - Walsall	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTLL
- Fleetwood Town
English League Two
28.02.26	Fleetwood Town - Newport County	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Fleetwood Town - Barrow	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Fleetwood Town - Bromley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.09.25	Fleetwood Town - Walsall	1:1
28.01.25	Fleetwood Town - Walsall	2:0
01.10.24	Walsall - Fleetwood Town	2:6
English League One
09.03.19	Walsall - Fleetwood Town	2:0
17.11.18	Fleetwood Town - Walsall	0:0
05.05.18	Fleetwood Town - Walsall	2:0
21.11.17	Walsall - Fleetwood Town	4:2

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