Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)


	Warta Poznań		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.8	1.65
	4.37	3.61	1.79
	3.50	3.73	1.94	Watch
	4.22	3.65	1.7	Watch
	4	3.71	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (4.2)	3.7 ↓ (3.85)	1.75 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
22.3%

Draw
24.9%

Polonia Bytom
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

23.8%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

23.4%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Warta Poznań - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Polonia Bytom will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia Bytom: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Bytom (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kosiorek J. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 20. Dziedzic K. 35. Jakubowski F. 13. Niedzielski J. 29. Rychert K. 9. Stanek M. 17. Stefaniak M. 19. Szymanek K. 4. Wojcinowicz T. (C) 21. Zylla M.	35. Mazur K. (G) 22. Calavera J. 18. Gajda T. 30. Krzyzak O. 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Stefanski P. 14. Szymusik G. 29. Terlecki K. 74. Tsirigotis T. 9. Wojtyra K. 7. Zielinski L.
Substitutes
8. Kumoch K. 2. Lepczynski K. 42. Przybylak L. (G) . Rychlik J. 99. Smoczynski M. . Steblecki S. . Tonder F. 7. Walus F. 74. Zalewski S.	11. Andrzejczak K. 27. Apolinarski J. 23. Arak J. 4. Bakala M. 21. Burkiewicz A. 1. Holewinski A. (G) 5. Matic M. 10. Michalski K. 77. Szymanski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Wojtyra K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Avdeev D. ↓, Lepczynski K. ↑,
46', Stefaniak M. ↓, Zalewski S. ↑,
49', Zielinski L. 🟨,
53', Szymusik G. 🟨,
59', Gajda T. 🟨,
59', Dziedzic K. ↓, Steblecki S. ↑,
60', Zylla M. ↓, Walus F. ↑,
61', Wojtyra K. ↓, Arak J. ↑,
61', Stefanski P. ↓, Apolinarski J. ↑,
65', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
74', Tsirigotis T. ↓, Andrzejczak K. ↑,
74', Zielinski L. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
81', Sarmiento J. ↓, Burkiewicz A. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Warta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Polonia Bytom is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Polonia Bytom is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Warta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Warta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 2
20.09.25	Warta Poznań - Sokół Kleczew	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Warta Poznań - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWTT
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
20.09.25	Polonia Bytom - Miedź Legnica	4:0 ✺
12.09.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Bytom	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Baník Ostrava B - Polonia Bytom	1:5 ✺
04.09.25	Cracovia - Polonia Bytom	0:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
30.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
03.03.17	Polonia Bytom - Warta Poznań	1:2
13.08.16	Warta Poznań - Polonia Bytom	0:1
Polish Division 2 - West
23.04.14	Polonia Bytom - Warta Poznań	1:3
Polish Division 1
18.05.13	Polonia Bytom - Warta Poznań	2:0

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