Match Info

Date: 19 January 2021, Tuesday


	Watford		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5
	1.85	3.4	4.6
	1.85	3.45	4.8
	1.84	3.35	4.4
	1.87	3.5	4.78
	1.85	3.3	4.6
	1.87	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.72)	3.43 ↓ (3.75)	4.61 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
51.5%

Draw
27.8%

Barnsley
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25.3%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

15.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Watford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	13%	7.8%

Watford - Barnsley Predictions

Users Predictions: Watford will win (61 of 77 users predict this - 79.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.16% – 88.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Championship (Play Offs) and 10).

Watford has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (53%), has a chance of promoted (37%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

Barnsley has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Watford is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Watford won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Championship
16.01.21	Watford - Huddersfield Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
09.01.21	Manchester United - Watford	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
02.01.21	Swansea City - Watford	2:1 ✺
26.12.20	Watford - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
19.12.20	Huddersfield Town - Watford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL
- Barnsley FC
English League Championship
16.01.21	Barnsley - Swansea City	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.21	Barnsley - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
02.01.21	Norwich City - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
29.12.20	Rotherham United - Barnsley	1:2 ✺
26.12.20	Barnsley - Huddersfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
31.10.20	Barnsley - Watford	1:0
15.03.14	Watford - Barnsley	3:0
21.09.13	Barnsley - Watford	1:5
16.03.13	Barnsley - Watford	1:0
01.12.12	Watford - Barnsley	4:1
04.02.12	Watford - Barnsley	2:1

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