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Current Win Probability
Manchester United 70.8%
Draw 18.3%
Watford 10.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.9%
17.6%
10.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
80.3%
15.8%
9.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
67.9%
11.1%
21%
Manchester United - Watford Predictions
Users Predictions:
81 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 55 - 67.9%). Watford will win (votes: 17 - 21%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 57.7% – 78.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
Man Utd has the most likely position - 5 (32.9%), has project points - 64, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (23%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Watford has the most likely position - 19 (37.77%), has project points - 29, has currently - 18, has a good chance of relegated (81%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has quality68, importance46, match rating57. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 3.
Man Utd is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Watford is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Man Utd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Man Utd is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.
Watch
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