The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 30.9%
Draw 29%
Swansea City 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
27.7%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.6%
20.1%
53%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnsley that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swansea City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barnsley - Swansea City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 13).
Barnsley has the most likely position - 23 (18.04%), has project points - 44, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Swansea has the most likely position - 13 (6.3%), has project points - 62, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Barnsley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Swansea is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
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