Match Info

Championship - Round 19

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Vicarage Road (Watford)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	Watford		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.8	4	Watch
	1.83	3.95	3.95	Watch
	1.85	3.95	4.12
	1.83	3.96	3.97	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.9
	1.84	3.72	3.92	Watch
	1.81	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.86)	3.87 ↑ (3.52)	3.98 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
51.9%

Draw
24.4%

Norwich City
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.4%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

26%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	12.5%	18.7%

Watford - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Norwich will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Watford (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Norwich (3.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Watford (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Watford (votes: 3 - 75%). Norwich (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Baxter N. (G) 2. Ngakia J. 4. Keben K. 6. Pollock M. 16. Bola M. 39. Kayembe E. 10. Louza I. (C) 8. Chakvetadze G. 42. Maamma O. 20. Doumbia M. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.	1. Kovacevic V. (G) 42. Springett T. 15. McConville R. 6. Darling H. 35. Fisher K. 23. McLean K. (C) 7. Mattsson P. 18. Forson A. 11. Marcondes E. 29. Schwartau O. 9. Sargent J.
Substitutes
25. Abankwah J. 3. Alleyne M. 7. Ince T. 5. Kyprianou H. 41. Marriott A. (G) 23. Mendy N. 22. Morris J. 18. Semedo V. 17. Sissoko M.	48. Adelusi T. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 10. Jurasek M. 30. Kvistgaarden M. 24. Makama J. 5. Medic J. 46. Mundle Smith E. 20. Slimane A. 16. Wright J.
Coaches
Gracia J.	Clement P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', Darling H. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Sargent J. ⚽, Schwartau O. (A),
24', Chakvetadze G. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽,
38', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
45', 1 - 2, Schwartau O. ⚽, Marcondes E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Keben K. ↓, Alleyne M. ↑,
54', Springett T. ↓, Medic J. ↑,
54', Kovacevic V. 🟨,
61', 2 - 2, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽, Ngakia J. (A),
62', Forson A. ↓, Makama J. ↑,
62', Marcondes E. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
74', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
78', 3 - 2, Ince T. ⚽, Bola M. (A),
86', Schwartau O. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
86', Maamma O. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
86', Doumbia M. ↓, Kyprianou H. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Watford is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Selvik E. (Inactive) Vata R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Hamstring Injury) Cordoba J. (Muscle Injury) Crnac A. (Knee Injury) Diallo P. A. (Muscle Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Gibbs L. (Hamstring Injury) Mahovo L. (Muscle Injury) Topic M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Watford won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Championship
01.12.25	Birmingham City - Watford	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Watford - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Derby County - Watford	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Watford - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Ipswich Town - Watford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWTT
- Norwich City
English League Championship
29.11.25	Norwich City - Queens Park Rangers	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Norwich City - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Birmingham City - Norwich City	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Norwich City - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
12.08.25	Watford - Norwich City	1:2
English League Championship
01.02.25	Watford - Norwich City	0:1
21.09.24	Norwich City - Watford	4:1
13.02.24	Norwich City - Watford	4:2
28.11.23	Watford - Norwich City	3:2
02.01.23	Norwich City - Watford	0:1
15.10.22	Watford - Norwich City	2:1

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