Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 27

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Vicarage Road (Watford)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)


	Watford		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	4.33
	1.78	3.6	4.5
	1.8	3.75	4.6
	1.79	3.6	4.3
	1.85	3.7	4.56
	1.83	3.5	4.2
	1.84	3.68	4.3	Watch
	1.82	3.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.64)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	4.4 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
52.4%

Draw
26%

Blackpool
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.7%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

23.6%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	35.7%	21.4%

Watford - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Blackpool will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Watford has the most likely position - 4 (10.92%), has project points - 71, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Blackpool has the most likely position - 23 (14.99%), has project points - 49, has currently - 26, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 41, importance 33, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Watford have a series of guest games.

In this match Watford is a favorite.

There will not play in Watford: Cleverley T. (Injury) Gosling D. (Injury) Hause K. (Injury) Louza I. (Knee Injury) Manaj R. (Injury)

There will not play in Blackpool: Bridcutt L. (Injury) Gabriel J. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Watford won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Reading - Watford	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
02.01.23	Norwich City - Watford	0:1 ✺
30.12.22	Swansea City - Watford	4:0 ✺
26.12.22	Watford - Millwall	0:2 ✺
17.12.22	Huddersfield Town - Watford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLLW
- Blackpool
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Blackpool - Nottingham Forest	4:1 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.23	Blackpool - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
29.12.22	Blackpool - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Hull City - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
17.12.22	Cardiff City - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.10.22	Blackpool - Watford	3:1
24.01.15	Watford - Blackpool	7:2
16.09.14	Blackpool - Watford	0:1
01.03.14	Watford - Blackpool	4:0
31.08.13	Blackpool - Watford	1:0
09.03.13	Watford - Blackpool	1:2
24.11.12	Blackpool - Watford	2:2

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