Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 17 January 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bloomfield Road (Blackpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bond D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:45	Paramount+
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	SportKlub
Brazil	16:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	20:45	SportKlub
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	20:45	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Norway	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV
Serbia	20:45	SportKlub
Slovenia	20:45	SportKlub
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	21:45	Setanta Sports


	Blackpool		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2.05
	3.5	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.73	3.81	1.94
	3.52	3.69	2.09
	3.3	3.6	1.85
	3.52	3.74	2	Watch
	3.45	3.7	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (4.16)	3.69 ↓ (3.73)	2 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackpool
27.2%

Draw
25.6%

Nottingham Forest
47.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.6%

25.2%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

26.7%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blackpool that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nottingham Forest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.6%	2.8%	66.7%

Blackpool - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Blackpool will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). Nottingham will win (votes: 24 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 51.3% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Grimshaw D. (G) 2. Connolly C. 21. Ekpiteta M. 3. Husband J. 4. Gabriel J. 6. Norburn O. (C) 8. Morgan A. 24. Lyons A. 22. Hamilton C. 16. Rhodes J. 10. Carey S.	23. Vlachodimos O. (G) 7. Williams N. 32. Omobamidele A. 40. Murillo 3. Tavares N. 28. Danilo 5. Mangala O. 22. Yates R. (C) 16. Dominguez N. 14. Hudson-Odoi C. 11. Wood Ch.
Substitutes
20. Casey O. 7. Dale O. 11. Dembele K. 9. Joseph K. 19. Lavery S. 30. Oakley-Boothe T. 1. O'Donnell R. (G) 5. Pennington M. 17. Virtue-Thick M.	41. Aguilera Zamora B. 53. Gardner J. 52. McDonnell J. 26. McKenna S. 29. Montiel G. 49. Osong D. E. 15. Toffolo H. 1. Turner M. (G) 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Critchley N.	Espirito Santo N.

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 2-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 1.

Blackpool is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nottingham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nottingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nottingham have a series of home games.

In this match Nottingham is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Blackpool won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackpool
English League One
13.01.24	Blackpool - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.01.24	Blackpool - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.24	Nottingham Forest - Blackpool	2:2 ✺
English League One
01.01.24	Blackpool - Lincoln City	2:0 ✺
29.12.23	Port Vale - Blackpool	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWL
- Nottingham Forest
English FA Cup
07.01.24	Nottingham Forest - Blackpool	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
30.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest	1:3 ✺
23.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth	2:3 ✺
15.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
07.01.24	Nottingham Forest - Blackpool	2:2
07.01.23	Blackpool - Nottingham Forest	4:1
English League Championship
02.04.22	Blackpool - Nottingham Forest	1:4
16.10.21	Nottingham Forest - Blackpool	2:1
14.02.15	Blackpool - Nottingham Forest	4:4
09.08.14	Nottingham Forest - Blackpool	2:0
08.02.14	Blackpool - Nottingham Forest	1:1

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