The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reading 32.7%
Draw 29.6%
Watford 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
29.2%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
29.1%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
45%
35%
Reading - Watford Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Watford will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2% – 66.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs)).
Reading has the most likely position - 16 (9.21%), has project points - 59, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Watford has the most likely position - 7 (10.1%), has project points - 70, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality41, small importance16, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 2.
Reading is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Watford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Reading: Hutchinson S.
(Injury)
Moore L.
(Injury)
There will not play in Watford: Cleverley T.
(Injury)
Gosling D.
(Injury)
Hause K.
(Injury)
Hoedt W.
(Injury)
Louza I.
(Knee Injury)
Manaj R.
(Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Reading won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
Watch
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