Match Info

Championship - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Coventry City		Watford

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5	Watch
	1.56	4.42	5.38	Watch
	1.48	4.55	6.52
	1.53	4.37	5.72	Watch
	1.59	4.45	5.67	Watch
	1.49	4.33	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 (1.53)	4.41 ↑ (4.37)	5.67 ↓ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
61.9%

Draw
21.5%

Watford
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.6%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

20.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	12%	16%

Coventry City - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Watford will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Coventry (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coventry City will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 8. Allen J. 6. Grimes M. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 10. Mason-Clark E. 11. Wright H.	1. Selvik E. (G) 25. Abankwah J. 4. Keben K. 16. Bola M. 2. Ngakia J. 39. Kayembe E. 17. Sissoko M. (C) 34. Baah K. 10. Louza I. 20. Doumbia M. 11. Vata R.
Substitutes
54. Andrews K. 21. Bidwell J. 33. Brau M. 28. Eccles J. 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 50. Shepherd G. 9. Simms E. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L.	3. Alleyne M. 12. Baxter N. (G) 7. Ince T. 66. Irankunda N. 9. Kjerrumgaard L. 5. Kyprianou H. 22. Morris J. 6. Pollock M. 18. Semedo V.
Coaches
Lampard F.	Gracia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Thomas-Asante B. ⚽, Sakamoto T. (A),
7', 2 - 0, Allen J. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Sakamoto T. ⚽,
44', Abankwah J. 🟥,
45+1', Sissoko M. ↓, Pollock M. ↑,
45+3', Doumbia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kayembe E. ↓, Kyprianou H. ↑,
52', Thomas B. ↓, Woolfenden L. ↑,
62', Woolfenden L. 🟨,
64', Doumbia M. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
65', Baah K. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Louza I. (Pen),
73', Wright H. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
73', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Eccles J. ↑,
76', van Ewijk M. 🟨,
82', van Ewijk M. ↓, Kesler-Hayden K. ↑,
85', Kitching L. 🟨,
86', Vata R. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
90+2', Irankunda N. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 2.

Coventry has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Watford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Coventry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Coventry is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Latibeaudiere J. (Inactive) Rudoni J. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C. (Inactive)

We predict that Coventry will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
21.10.25	Portsmouth - Coventry City	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Coventry City - Blackburn Rovers	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Coventry City	0:5 ✺
01.10.25	Millwall - Coventry City	0:4 ✺
27.09.25	Coventry City - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW
- Watford FC
English League Championship
22.10.25	Watford - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Sheffield United - Watford	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Watford - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Portsmouth - Watford	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Watford - Hull City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.01.25	Coventry City - Watford	2:1
14.09.24	Watford - Coventry City	1:1
09.03.24	Watford - Coventry City	1:2
02.09.23	Coventry City - Watford	3:3
10.04.23	Coventry City - Watford	2:2
05.11.22	Watford - Coventry City	0:1
06.02.21	Coventry City - Watford	0:0

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