Match Info

Championship - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Bristol City		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.18	3.27	3.47	Watch
	2.2	3.38	3.55
	2.50	3.28	2.83	Watch
	2.18	3.3	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.48)	3.31 ↑ (3.27)	3.3 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
42.5%

Draw
28.7%

Birmingham City
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Bristol City - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Birmingham will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 71.3% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bristol City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 16. Dickie R. (C) 5. Atkinson R. 2. McCrorie R. 4. Randell A. 14. Vyner Z. 21. Neto Borges 10. Twine S. 11. Mehmeti A. 30. Armstrong S.	25. Beadle J. (G) 24. Iwata T. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 12. Leonard M. 7. Doyle T. 16. Roberts P. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 14. Anderson K. 28. Stansfield J.
Substitutes
7. Hirakawa Y. 9. Mayulu F. 31. Morrison E. 1. O'Leary M. (G) 29. Pecover L. 24. Roberts H. 17. Sykes M. 36. Thomas O. 25. Yeboah E.	21. Allsop R. (G) 41. Cashin E. 33. Ducksch M. 17. Dykes L. 27. Fujimoto K. 9. Furuhashi K. 10. Gray D. 30. Koumas L. 23. Sampsted A.
Coaches
Struber G.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Twine S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Armstrong S. ⚽, Atkinson R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McCrorie R. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
61', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
61', Anderson K. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
62', Stansfield J. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
66', Iwata T. 🟨,
66', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
74', Armstrong S. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
75', Doyle T. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
84', Neumann P. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
85', Mehmeti A. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
85', Neto Borges ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
90+6', Twine S. ↓, Thomas O. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bristol City might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Knight J. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Ducksch M. (Calf Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (Yellow Cards) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
21.10.25	Bristol City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Norwich City - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Bristol City - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Preston North End - Bristol City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLTT
- Birmingham City
English League Championship
21.10.25	Preston North End - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Birmingham City - Hull City	2:3 ✺
03.10.25	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Coventry City - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.12.23	Birmingham City - Bristol City	0:0
19.08.23	Bristol City - Birmingham City	0:2
14.01.23	Bristol City - Birmingham City	4:2
08.10.22	Birmingham City - Bristol City	3:0
05.03.22	Bristol City - Birmingham City	1:2
02.11.21	Birmingham City - Bristol City	3:0
13.03.21	Birmingham City - Bristol City	0:3

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