Match Info

Championship - Round 11

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Vicarage Road (Watford)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Watford		West Bromwich Albion

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.77	3.16	2.67	Watch
	2.83	3.14	2.77
	2.87	3.34	2.44	Watch
	2.94	3.3	2.58	Watch
	2.9	3.35	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.85)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)	2.59 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Watford
33.9%

Draw
29.3%

West Bromwich Albion
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.1%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.6%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	57.1%	21.4%

Watford - West Bromwich Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). West Bromwich will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Watford (votes: 2 - 25%). West Bromwich (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Watford (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - West Bromwich (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Watford (votes: 3 - 27.3%). West Bromwich (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Selvik E. (G) 6. Pollock M. 25. Abankwah J. 16. Bola M. 2. Ngakia J. 10. Louza I. (C) 5. Kyprianou H. 29. Petris J. 11. Vata R. 66. Irankunda N. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.	20. Griffiths J. (G) 14. Gilchrist A. 3. Phillips N. 2. Mepham C. 4. Styles C. 17. Diakite O. 27. Mowatt A. (C) 22. Iling Junior S. 21. Price I. 11. Johnston M. 19. Heggebo A.
Substitutes
34. Baah K. 12. Baxter N. (G) 20. Doumbia M. 14. Dwomoh P. 7. Ince T. 39. Kayembe E. 4. Keben K. 22. Morris J. 17. Sissoko M.	37. Bostock O. 6. Campbell G. 33. Deeming C. 12. Dike D. 10. Grant K. 9. Maja J. 29. Taylor C. 45. Wallis J. (G) 23. Wildsmith J. (G)
Coaches
Gracia J.	Mason R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Price I. ⚽, Johnston M. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Louza I. ⚽,
42', Styles C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Petris J. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
46', Irankunda N. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
46', Heggebo A. 🟨,
55', Gilchrist A. ↓, Campbell G. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Vata R. ⚽,
70', Heggebo A. ↓, Maja J. ↑,
70', Iling Junior S. ↓, Grant K. ↑,
73', Vata R. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
80', Diakite O. ↓, Dike D. ↑,
80', Styles C. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
88', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
90+4', Louza I. ↓, Dwomoh P. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in West Bromwich: Bany T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in West Bromwich: Collyer T. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Watford won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

West Bromwich Albion - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.79%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Championship
18.10.25	Sheffield United - Watford	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Watford - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Portsmouth - Watford	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Watford - Hull City	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Millwall - Watford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTWL
- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
18.10.25	West Bromwich Albion - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Millwall - West Bromwich Albion	3:0 ✺
01.10.25	Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
12.04.25	West Bromwich Albion - Watford	2:1
15.12.24	Watford - West Bromwich Albion	2:1
01.04.24	West Bromwich Albion - Watford	2:2
20.09.23	Watford - West Bromwich Albion	2:2
20.02.23	Watford - West Bromwich Albion	3:2
08.08.22	West Bromwich Albion - Watford	1:1
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Watford - West Bromwich Albion	0:0

Upcoming Matches