Match Info

Championship - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	West Bromwich Albion		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.18	3.37	3.37	Watch
	2.27	3.35	3.49
	1.58	4.06	5.41	Watch
	2.35	3.36	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.42)	3.48 ↑ (3.44)	3.76 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Bromwich Albion
46.2%

Draw
28%

Leicester City
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

27.6%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in West Bromwich Albion's performance.

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leicester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with West Bromwich Albion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leicester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Leicester will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 2 - 40%). Leicester (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Leicester (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Leicester (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Griffiths J. (G) 6. Campbell G. 3. Phillips N. 2. Mepham C. 29. Taylor C. 8. Molumby J. 27. Mowatt A. (C) 22. Iling Junior S. 21. Price I. 11. Johnston M. 19. Heggebo A.	1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 24. Soumare B. 8. Winks H. 7. Fatawu I. 6. James J. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Ayew J.
Substitutes
5. Bielik K. 37. Bostock O. 13. Collyer T. 17. Diakite O. 14. Gilchrist A. 9. Maja J. 4. Styles C. 7. Wallace J. 23. Wildsmith J. (G)	31. Begovic A. (G) 18. Carranza J. 17. Choudhury H. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 16. Kristiansen V. 28. Monga J. 5. Okoli C. 22. Skipp O.
Coaches
Mason R.	Cifuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Iling Junior S. ⚽, Heggebo A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', James J. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
47', Phillips N. 🟨,
61', Carranza J. 🟨,
64', Mavididi S. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
70', Molumby J. 🟨,
72', Iling Junior S. ↓, Styles C. ↑,
72', Heggebo A. ↓, Maja J. ↑,
72', Thomas L. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
73', Ayew J. ↓, Kristiansen V. ↑,
81', Pereira R. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
85', Johnston M. ↓, Wallace J. ↑,
88', Monga J. 🟨,
89', Mowatt A. ↓, Collyer T. ↑,
90', Choudhury H. 🟨,
90', Vestergaard J. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Phillips N. (Own goal),
90+5', Fatawu I. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

West Bromwich might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in West Bromwich: Bany T. (Muscle Injury) Dike D. (Muscle Injury) Grant K. (Inactive) Williams A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Leicester: Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Page L. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, West Bromwich won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

West Bromwich Albion - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.27%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
19.09.25	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	West Bromwich Albion - Derby County	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Stoke City - West Bromwich Albion	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	West Bromwich Albion - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Wrexham - West Bromwich Albion	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWTW
- Leicester City
English League Championship
20.09.25	Leicester City - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Oxford United - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Leicester City - Birmingham City	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Charlton Athletic - Leicester City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Preston North End - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.04.24	Leicester City - West Bromwich Albion	2:1
02.12.23	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	1:2
English Premier League
22.04.21	Leicester City - West Bromwich Albion	3:0
13.09.20	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	0:3
10.03.18	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	1:4
16.10.17	Leicester City - West Bromwich Albion	1:1
Premier League Asia Trophy
19.07.17	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	1:2 penalties

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