Match Info

Championship - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Vicarage Road (Watford)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Watford		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	4.10	4.00	1.71	Watch
	4.10	3.90	1.78
	4.50	3.95	1.68	Watch
	4.39	4.09	1.79
	4.53	4.08	1.7	Watch
	4.30	4.05	1.77
	4.46	4.13	1.77	Watch
	4.10	3.95	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.81)	4.02 ↑ (3.74)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
22%

Draw
23.6%

West Ham United
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

24.9%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

25.3%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Watford - West Ham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 1 - 10%). West Ham will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Watford (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Watford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ravaglia F. (G) 23. Traore O. H. 6. Pollock M. (C) 4. Keben K. 33. Zemura J. 8. Bove E. 5. Kyprianou H. 7. Maamma O. 17. Bravo I. 21. Nabizada A. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.	1. Hermansen M. (G) 34. Veltman J. 58. Golambeckis A. 3. Kilman M. 2. Walker-Peters K. 20. Bowen J. (C) 7. Engels A. 17. Kante M. 10. Solomon M. 14. Mukasa D. 11. Castellanos T.
Substitutes
48. Adu Poku M. 26. Bachmann D. (G) 19. Chikovani N. 20. Doumbia M. 56. Eames A. 39. Kayembe E. 22. Payero M. 11. Vata R. 24. Walker S. (G)	66. Ajala J. 42. Casey K. 49. Herrick F. (G) 21. Lamadrid K. 63. Mayers E. 61. Orford L. 19. Pablo 9. Piroe J. 30. Scarles O.
Coaches
Dionisi A.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Bove E. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Nabizada A. ⚽,
24', Maamma O. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Pollock M. (Own goal),
31', Veltman J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Keben K. 🟨,
60', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
60', Nabizada A. ↓, Payero M. ↑,
65', Mukasa D. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
65', Kante M. ↓, Orford L. ↑,
73', Maamma O. ↓, Vata R. ↑,
85', Bravo I. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
86', Walker-Peters K. ↓, Scarles O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Watford has had a series of home games.

In this match, West Ham is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Watford: Akomeah T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Baah K. (Knock) Bola M. (Hamstring Injury) Grieves J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Ngakia J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in West Ham: Soucek T. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in West Ham: Pablo (Health problems)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Watford won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

West Ham: 41.01% Watford: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	West Ham	9	4	4	1	23:12	11	16
20	Watford	9	2	2	5	7:14	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Cup
25.08.26	Watford - Peterborough United	1:5 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Wrexham - Watford	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Watford - Southampton	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Watford - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Watford - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWWL
- West Ham United
English League Cup
25.08.26	Southampton - West Ham United	1:4 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	West Ham United - Charlton Athletic	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Burnley - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	West Ham United - Portsmouth	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Magdeburg - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
08.02.22	West Ham United - Watford	1:0
28.12.21	Watford - West Ham United	1:4
17.07.20	West Ham United - Watford	3:1
24.08.19	Watford - West Ham United	1:3
12.05.19	Watford - West Ham United	1:4
22.12.18	West Ham United - Watford	0:2
10.02.18	West Ham United - Watford	2:0

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