Match Info

Date: 18 January 2021, Monday


	Wealdstone		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.2
	1.98	3.25	3.35
	1.96	3.5	3.2
	2.03	3.72	3.45
	2	3.5	3.25
	2.03	3.78	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.11)	3.53 ↓ (3.86)	3.3 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wealdstone
46%

Draw
26.1%

Gloucester City
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

23.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

16.4%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wealdstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wealdstone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloucester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wealdstone - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Wealdstone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gloucester is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wealdstone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wealdstone will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wealdstone won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Wealdstone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wealdstone
English National League
09.01.21	Hartlepool United - Wealdstone	3:1 ✺
26.12.20	Maidenhead United - Wealdstone	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.12.20	Wealdstone - Eastleigh	4:3 ✺
English National League
12.12.20	Wealdstone - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
05.12.20	Barnet - Wealdstone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWT
- Gloucester City
English National League North
09.01.21	Gloucester City - Kidderminster Harriers	3:2 ✺
02.01.21	Leamington - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
28.12.20	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	3:2 ✺
26.12.20	Gloucester City - Leamington	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
23.12.20	Maldon & Tiptree - Gloucester City	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.03.19	Gloucester City - Wealdstone	0:0
29.10.18	Wealdstone - Gloucester City	2:0
19.02.18	Wealdstone - Gloucester City	1:2
12.08.17	Gloucester City - Wealdstone	2:2

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