Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.4
	2.1	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.55	3.45
	2.2	3.46	3.45
	2.1	3.5	3.2
	2.15	3.56	3.26	Watch
	2.14	3.5	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.54)	3.5 ↑ (3.42)	3.35 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
44.4%

Draw
27.2%

Greuther Fürth
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

27.8%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.1%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wehen Wiesbaden's performance.

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greuther Fürth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wehen Wiesbaden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greuther Fürth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.9%	0%	78.1%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). Fürth will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fürth: 63.8% – 92.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (G) 4. Mockenhaupt S. (C) 2. Angha M. 26. Vukotic A. 24. Mathisen M. 7. Heusser R. 6. Fechner G. 33. Iredale J. 25. Agrafiotis N. 11. Bennetts K. 18. Prtajin I.	40. Urbig J. (G) 18. Meyerhofer M. 33. Dietz M. 23. Jung G. 2. Asta S. 14. Consbruch J. 36. Muller P. 19. Lemperle T. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 7. Srbeny D. 30. Sieb A.
Substitutes
8. Batzner N. 17. Carstens F. 30. Froese K. 9. Goppel T. 21. Kade J. 14. Kovacevic F. 1. Lyska A. (G) 27. Rieble N. 5. Taffertshofer E.	21. Calhanoglu K. 5. Haddadi O. 3. Mhamdi O. 4. Michalski D. 16. Petkov L. 34. Pfaffenrot D. 20. Popp L. 25. Schaffran L. (G) 15. Schlicke B.
Coaches
Kauczinski M.	Zorniger A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
3', 1 - 0, Prtajin I. ⚽, Iredale J. (A),
8', Mathisen M. 🟨,
15', Muller P. 🟨,
18', 2 - 0, Agrafiotis N. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Hrgota B. ⚽, Srbeny D. (A),
38', 2 - 2, Sieb A. ⚽, Srbeny D. (A),
43', 2 - 3, Sieb A. ⚽, Srbeny D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Muller P. ↓, Mhamdi O. ↑,
56', Asta S. 🟨,
66', Vukotic A. 🟨,
67', Hrgota B. (Pen),
67', Bennetts K. ↓, Goppel T. ↑,
67', Fechner G. ↓, Taffertshofer E. ↑,
67', Srbeny D. ↓, Petkov L. ↑,
70', Mhamdi O. 🟨,
72', 3 - 3, Prtajin I. (Pen),
73', Mhamdi O. ↓, Michalski D. ↑,
79', Consbruch J. ↓, Haddadi O. ↑,
81', Agrafiotis N. ↓, Froese K. ↑,
85', 3 - 4, Petkov L. ⚽,
88', Mockenhaupt S. ↓, Carstens F. ↑,
88', Iredale J. ↓, Kovacevic F. ↑,
90', Urbig J. 🟨,
90+4', Taffertshofer E. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 5, Hrgota B. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 9).

Wehen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fürth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wehen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Wehen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 2 Bundesliga
20.04.24	Kaiserslautern - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Hansa Rostock - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Hamburger SV - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLLL
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
20.04.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Greuther Fürth - Kaiserslautern	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Osnabrück - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.24	Augsburg - Greuther Fürth	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
26.11.23	Greuther Fürth - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:0
21.02.20	Wehen Wiesbaden - Greuther Fürth	1:1
13.09.19	Greuther Fürth - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:1
Club Friendly
07.01.17	Wehen Wiesbaden - Greuther Fürth	2:2

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