Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 34

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 6
Serbia	SportKlub 8
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Greuther Fürth		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	2.45	4	2.45	Watch
	2.65	4.1	2.3
	2.47	4	2.39	Watch
	2.5	4.15	2.54
	2.47	4.13	2.48	Watch
	2.62	3.9	2.3	Watch
	2.58	4.05	2.39	Watch
	2.47	4	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.72)	4.04 ↓ (4.38)	2.41 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
37.4%

Draw
23.4%

Hamburger SV
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

21.6%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

22%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Hamburg will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Hamburg (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Fürth (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Fürth (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamburger SV will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Fürth (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Hamburg (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Noll N. (G) 15. Quarshie J. 23. Jung G. 27. Itter G. 2. Asta S. 33. Dietz M. 14. Consbruch J. 24. John M. 30. Klaus F. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 9. Futkeu N.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 8. Elfadli D. 28. Muheim M. 17. Karabec A. 23. Meffert J. 14. Reis L. 45. Balde F. 9. Glatzel R. 7. Dompe J.
Substitutes
17. Giesselmann N. 37. Green J. 31. Grill L. (G) 40. Kasper D. 25. Loosli N. 18. Meyerhofer M. 36. Muller P. 5. Munz R. 7. Srbeny D.	30. Hefti S. 18. Jatta B. 47. Oliveira N. 6. Poreba L. 19. Raab M. (G) 20. Richter M. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A. 29. Sahiti E. 27. Selke D.
Coaches
Kleine T.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', John M. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Klaus F. ⚽, Quarshie J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Dompe J. ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Klaus F. (Pen),
60', Consbruch J. ↓, Green J. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Klaus F. ⚽, Itter G. (A),
67', 3 - 2, Glatzel R. (Pen),
70', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
70', Karabec A. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
70', Balde F. ↓, Sahiti E. ↑,
76', John M. ↓, Giesselmann N. ↑,
76', Futkeu N. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
82', Meffert J. ↓, Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↑,
83', Asta S. ↓, Meyerhofer M. ↑,
87', Klaus F. 🟨,
90', Selke D. 🟨,
90', Jung G. 🟨,
90+7', Giesselmann N. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Hamburg is Qualified for Bundesliga

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 1.

Fürth is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hamburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hamburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Fürth: Banse S. (Knee Injury) Calhanoglu K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Hadzikadunic D. (Injury) Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Mickel T. (Injury) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
11.05.25	Hannover - Greuther Fürth	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Greuther Fürth - Ulm 1846	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Greuther Fürth - Köln	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLT
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
10.05.25	Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846	6:1 ✺
03.05.25	Darmstadt - Hamburger SV	0:4 ✺
27.04.25	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
21.12.24	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	5:0
31.03.24	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	1:1
21.10.23	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	2:0
20.05.23	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	2:1
09.11.22	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	1:0
13.02.21	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	0:0
17.10.20	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	0:1

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