Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Welling United		Barnet

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.49
	5.5	4.2	1.53
	5.2	4.2	1.57
	5.13	4.56	1.49
	4.8	3.9	1.5
	5.86	4.4	1.47
	5	4.2	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (2.38)	4.21 ↑ (3.5)	1.51 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
17.5%

Draw
21.8%

Barnet
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

24.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Welling United's form might have worsened.

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Welling United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Welling United - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Welling is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Barnet is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barnet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barnet is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Welling won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
03.02.24	Welling United - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
30.01.24	Welling United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	1:2 ✺
22.01.24	Chelmsford City - Welling United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Welling United - Chesterfield	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TWWLW
- Barnet
English National League
03.02.24	Barnet - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Gateshead - Barnet	2:1 ✺
23.01.24	Oldham Athletic - Barnet	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Radcliffe - Barnet	1:2 ✺
English National League
09.01.24	Barnet - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.03.15	Barnet - Welling United	5:0
01.11.14	Welling United - Barnet	1:2
12.11.13	Barnet - Welling United	0:0
05.10.13	Welling United - Barnet	1:1

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