Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 33

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.75
	1.62	3.45	4.9
	1.6	3.9	5.14
	1.67	3.5	4.6
	1.57	4.05	5.2
	1.58	3.85	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.67)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	4.92 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
57.1%

Draw
24.3%

Concord Rangers
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Concord Rangers aligns with the current prediction.

Tonbridge Angels - Concord Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tonbridge won 1.

Tonbridge in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Concord is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Concord could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tonbridge is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tonbridge to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Tonbridge won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Tonbridge won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
11.02.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Tonbridge Angels	1:2 ✺
04.02.23	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Tonbridge Angels - Braintree Town	0:0 ✺
24.01.23	Tonbridge Angels - Dover Athletic	4:0 ✺
14.01.23	St Albans City - Tonbridge Angels	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWTWW
- Concord Rangers
English National League South
11.02.23	Braintree Town - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
07.02.23	Weymouth - Concord Rangers	1:2 ✺
04.02.23	Concord Rangers - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Ebbsfleet United - Concord Rangers	4:1 ✺
21.01.23	Concord Rangers - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.11.22	Concord Rangers - Tonbridge Angels	1:0
15.03.22	Concord Rangers - Tonbridge Angels	1:1
02.10.21	Tonbridge Angels - Concord Rangers	2:3
09.02.21	Concord Rangers - Tonbridge Angels	Canceled
01.12.20	Tonbridge Angels - Concord Rangers	2:0
14.03.20	Concord Rangers - Tonbridge Angels	3:3
13.08.19	Tonbridge Angels - Concord Rangers	1:0

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