Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking)


	Dorking Wanderers		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.65	3.75	4.75
	1.64	3.9	4.68
	1.67	3.87	4.83	Watch
	1.63	3.9	4.7
	1.65	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	3.81 ↑ (3.7)	4.7 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
56.2%

Draw
24.2%

Welling United
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24.9%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Dorking Wanderers - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Rutherford A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 2 - 0, Alexandrou T. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Johnson C. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 16).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Dorking is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dorking won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:1 (average 3.5:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Dorking won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:1 (average 3.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
22.10.24	Tonbridge Angels - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Dorking Wanderers - Salisbury	3:3 ✺
12.10.24	Dorking Wanderers - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:2 ✺
05.10.24	Dorking Wanderers - Hornchurch	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Weston-super-Mare - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWT
- Welling United
English National League South
22.10.24	Welling United - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	St Albans City - Welling United	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Welling United - Eastbourne Borough	0:1 ✺
08.10.24	Worthing - Welling United	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Welling United - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.04.22	Welling United - Dorking Wanderers	0:4
11.12.21	Dorking Wanderers - Welling United	3:1
13.02.21	Dorking Wanderers - Welling United	5:0
30.11.19	Dorking Wanderers - Welling United	2:0

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