Match Info

A-League Women - Round 23

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington)

Referee: Rattray B. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Play, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Wellington Phoenix		Western United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.15
	2.55	3.5	2.36
	2.9	3.85	2.25
	2.65	3.69	2.4	Watch
	2.59	3.46	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.55	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.51)	3.59 ↑ (3.56)	2.27 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix
34.1%

Draw
25.5%

Western United
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

24.8%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Wellington Phoenix - Western United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Dias C. (G) 4. Barry M. 3. Jaber T. 5. Kelly A. 21. Wall L. 11. Elliott M. 6. McCutcheon M. 16. Longo A. (C) 7. Jale G. 20. Main E. 9. Fergusson O.	1. Dall'Oste A. (G) 16. Taranto M. 4. Mihocic C. 18. Maher G. 8. Grove S. 28. Dehakiz I. 6. Berryhill C. (C) 9. Eggesvik S. 24. Sardo J. 34. Zimmerman C. 15. Taranto A.
Substitutes
15. Brazendale D. 19. Ingham O. 13. Neary B. (G) 14. Tanaka M. 10. Whinham A.	7. De Domizio K. 20. Hieda K. 11. Ibarguen S. 36. Lincoln C. (G) 5. Medwin A.
Coaches
Temple P.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Berryhill C. ↓, Medwin A. ↑,
46', Kelly A. ↓, Tanaka M. ↑,
63', Taranto M. 🟨,
63', McCutcheon M. 🟨,
65', McCutcheon M. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
65', Fergusson O. ↓, Whinham A. ↑,
69', Taranto M. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
70', Jaber T. 🟨,
75', 0 - 1, Eggesvik S. ⚽, Maher G. (A),
78', Eggesvik S. ↓, Ibarguen S. ↑,
79', Longo A. ↓, Ingham O. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Main E. ⚽, Elliott M. (A),
85', Dias C. ↓, Neary B. ↑,
89', Medwin A. ↓, Hieda K. ↑,

Preview

Western United is Qualified for A~League Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Wellington is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Western United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Western United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:13 (average 1.2:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix Women
Australian A-League Women
13.04.25	Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	0:1 ✺
21.03.25	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- Western United Women
Australian A-League Women
12.04.25	Western United - Adelaide United	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Newcastle Jets - Western United	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Western United - Canberra United	4:3 ✺
07.03.25	Perth Glory - Western United	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Western United - Melbourne Victory	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
01.11.24	Western United - Wellington Phoenix	4:2
18.02.24	Western United - Wellington Phoenix	3:0
11.11.23	Wellington Phoenix - Western United	3:1
06.01.23	Western United - Wellington Phoenix	1:0
25.11.22	Wellington Phoenix - Western United	1:4

Wellington Phoenix - Western United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide