Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen)

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	OneFootball TV


	Werder Bremen		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.7	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.8	2.9
	2.30	3.80	2.65	Watch
	2.37	4.00	2.91
	2.34	3.86	2.77	Watch
	2.30	3.75	2.85
	2.40	3.92	2.91	Watch
	2.24	3.90	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.38)	3.84 ↑ (3.78)	2.84 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
41.5%

Draw
24.8%

Augsburg
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.2%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

25.5%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Werder Bremen - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Augsburg will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hein K. (G) 13. Arthur 5. Pieper A. 32. Friedl M. (C) 2. Deman O. 44. Regeer Y. 15. Reis L. 18. Dinkci E. 20. Chuki 17. Grull M. 10. Fullkrug N.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 40. Banks N. 5. Matsima C. 2. Brackelmann C. 27. Wolf M. 4. Massengo H. 32. Rieder F. (C) 16. Behrens H. 19. Fellhauer R. 10. Komur M. 11. Gregoritsch M.
Substitutes
38. Erevbenagie P. 26. Itten C. 29. Musah S. 30. Schlager A. (G) 33. Schmetgens M. 23. Stalmach D. 4. Stark N. 8. Weiser M. 3. Wojcik O.	35. Bah J. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 6. Gouweleeuw J. 21. Ibrahimovic A. 14. Keitel Y. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 39. Ogundu U. 9. Ribeiro R. 7. Seol Young-Woo
Coaches
Thioune D.	Baum M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Massengo H. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Fellhauer R. ⚽, Rieder F. (A),
27', Arthur 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', Massengo H. ↓, Keitel Y. ↑,
53', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
53', Komur M. ↓, Claude-Maurice A. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Brackelmann C. ⚽, Claude-Maurice A. (A),
60', Grull M. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Grull M. ⚽, Chuki (A),
68', Dinkci E. ↓, Weiser M. ↑,
74', Wolf M. ↓, Seol Young-Woo ↑,
77', Behrens H. 🟨,
79', Reis L. ↓, Musah S. ↑,
79', Pieper A. ↓, Wojcik O. ↑,
83', Brackelmann C. ↓, Gouweleeuw J. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Fullkrug N. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, Weiser M. ⚽, Grull M. (A),
90+4', Arthur ↓, Schmetgens M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.

Werder has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Augsburg shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Werder has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:30 (averaging 1.6:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Werder against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 14:15 goals (averaging 1.4:1.5 per game).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.26% Werder Bremen: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11:6	5	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8:8	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Werder Bremen - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
12.09.26	Köln - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Lüneburger Hansa - Werder Bremen	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Werder Bremen - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLWL
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
12.09.26	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Augsburg - Schalke 04	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Energie Cottbus - Augsburg	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Leeds United - Augsburg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	1:3
20.12.25	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	0:0
19.01.25	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	0:2
24.08.24	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	2:2
27.04.24	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	0:3
09.12.23	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	2:0
04.03.23	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	2:1

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