Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Australia	23:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Canada	09:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	10:30	Disney+
China	21:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 5
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	15:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 6
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:30	Net4+
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	Vision+
Indonesia	20:30	K-Vision
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	07:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	18:30	Tapmad
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 5
Singapore	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV3
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	16:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
Vietnam	20:30	TV 360
International	13:30	Onefootball


	Werder Bremen		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.63	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.75
	2.48	3.55	2.72	Watch
	2.52	3.75	2.78
	5.55	3.44	1.69	Watch
	2.51	3.75	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.43)	3.6 ↓ (3.68)	2.57 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
33.4%

Draw
27.8%

Freiburg
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.2%

25.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Werder Bremen's form might have worsened.

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Werder Bremen - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Freiburg will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 67.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Werder (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Werder (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Werder (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Werder (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Werder Bremen will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Freiburg (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 32. Friedl M. (C) 31. Coulibaly K. 27. Agu F. 6. Stage J. 14. Lynen S. 11. Njinmah J. 18. Puertas C. 20. Schmid R. 17. Grull M.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 8. Eggestein M. 6. Osterhage P. 19. Beste J. 9. Holer L. 32. Grifo V. (C) 20. Adamu J.
Substitutes
28. Alvero S. 10. Bittencourt L. 44. Boniface V. 24. Covic P. 21. Hansen-Aaroen I. 13. Hein K. (G) 5. Pieper A. 23. Schmidt I. 9. Topp K.	18. Dinkci E. 30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 5. Jung A. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 7. Scherhant D. 14. Suzuki Y. 29. Treu P.
Coaches
Steffen H.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Grifo V. (Pen),
35', Beste J. 🟨,
36', Puertas C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Stage J. 🟨,
49', Grull M. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Adamu J. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
59', Schmid R. (Pen),
60', Njinmah J. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
60', Stage J. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
68', Beste J. ↓, Treu P. ↑,
68', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
71', Agu F. 🟨,
73', Schmid R. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
73', Sugawara Y. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Coulibaly K. (Own goal),
77', Lynen S. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
81', Kubler L. 🟨,
84', Osterhage P. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
85', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
90', Boniface V. 🟨,
90+1', Lienhart P. ↓, Jung A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.

Werder is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Freiburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Werder: Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Malatini J. (Ankle Injury) Stark N. (Hip Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Manzambi J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Werder: Pieper A. (Hip Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
14.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	0:4 ✺
30.08.25	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Werder Bremen - Udinese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLLL
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
13.09.25	Freiburg - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Köln - Freiburg	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Freiburg - Augsburg	1:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Freiburg	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Freiburg - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
21.02.25	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	5:0
05.10.24	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	0:1
27.01.24	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	3:1
26.08.23	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	1:0
16.04.23	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	1:2
22.10.22	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	2:0
13.02.21	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	0:0

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