The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blackburn Rovers 37.4%
Draw 29.3%
Millwall 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
27.5%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
27.2%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackburn Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Millwall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Millwall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
14.3%
57.1%
Blackburn Rovers - Millwall Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Millwall will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Toth B. (G) 2. Alebiosu R. 6. Atcheson T. 17. Carter H. 15. McLoughlin S. 4. Ribeiro Y. 25. Morishita R. 8. Morsy S. 31. Montgomery K. 21. Afolayan O. 10. Cantwell T. (C)
15. Crocombe M. (G) 2. Osei-Tutu J. 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 14. Metcalfe J. 11. Esse R. 7. Arconte T. 10. Neghli C. 13. Dykes L.
Substitutes
24. Baradji M. 27. Beyuku G. 11. Fevrier J. 30. Garrett J. 9. Gudjohnsen A. 45. Higgins H. 1. Pears A. (G) 3. Pickering H. 53. Vare F.
12. Baggott E. 23. Batth D. 35. Issoufou Y. 16. Kelly D. 29. Lovelace Z. 34. Marschall F. (G) 44. Massey A. 55. Parkes T. 17. Sykes M.
Coaches
Mowbray T.
Neil A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Carter H. 🟨,
16', Ribeiro Y. ↓, Pickering H. ↑,
39', Morsy S. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Afolayan O. ⚽, Morsy S. (A),
45', Pickering H. 🟨,
45+4', Sturge Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Alebiosu R. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
46', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
46', Esse R. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
50', Beyuku G. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Dykes L. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 2 - 1, Afolayan O. ⚽, Atcheson T. (A),
69', Afolayan O. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
70', Cantwell T. ↓, Gudjohnsen A. ↑,
76', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
81', Metcalfe J. 🟨,
82', Metcalfe J. ↓, Baggott E. ↑,
82', Cooper J. ↓, Lovelace Z. ↑,
86', Fevrier J. 🟨,
90+2', Sykes M. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 1, Gudjohnsen A. ⚽, Fevrier J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 3.
Blackburn has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Millwall has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Blackburn: Baradji M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jorgensen M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kargbo A.
(Muscle Injury)
Litherland M.
(Muscle Injury)
Miller L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ohashi Y.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J.
(Muscle Injury)
Crama T.
(Inactive)
Cundle L.
(Inactive)
De Norre C.
(Injury)
Doughty A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ivanovic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jensen L.
(Inactive)
Metcalfe J.
(Red Card)
Servais M.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Blackburn: Wharton S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Millwall: Leonard R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lisbie K.
(Inactive)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
Sykes M.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Blackburn won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Millwall: 5.26% Blackburn: 1.04%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Millwall
9
4
2
3
16:15
1
14
12
Blackburn
9
3
3
3
14:13
1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.82%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Millwall - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.71%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.
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Toth B. (G) 
Alebiosu R. 
Atcheson T. 
Carter H. 
McLoughlin S. 
Ribeiro Y. 
Morishita R. 
Morsy S. 
Montgomery K. 
Crocombe M. (G) 
Mazou-Sacko D. 
Arconte T. 
Neghli C. 
Gudjohnsen A. 
Baggott E. 
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