The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blackburn Rovers 35.2%
Draw 26.8%
Cardiff City 38%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.2%
25.7%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
26.2%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
10%
30%
Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Cardiff will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Blackburn: 29.6% โ 90.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Toth B. (G) 2. Alebiosu R. 17. Carter H. 15. McLoughlin S. 3. Pickering H. 8. Morsy S. 31. Montgomery K. 25. Morishita R. 10. Cantwell T. (C) 21. Afolayan O. 9. Gudjohnsen A.
1. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. (C) 48. Lawlor D. 4. Osho G. 3. Bagan J. 18. Robertson A. 8. Moylan J. 11. Tanner O. 27. Colwill J. 45. Ashford C. 47. Robinson C.
Substitutes
6. Atcheson T. 24. Baradji M. 27. Beyuku G. 14. De Neve D. 11. Fevrier J. 30. Garrett J. 7. Kargbo A. 39. Pates H. 1. Pears A. (G)
39. Davies I. 2. Fish W. 50. Holt C. 44. Kpakio R. 43. Moreno P. 23. Scanlon C. 14. Turnbull D. 30. Tyrer H. (G) 16. Willock C.
Coaches
Mowbray T.
Barry-Murphy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Gudjohnsen A. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Cantwell T. ⚽, Morishita R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Robinson C. ⚽, Moylan J. (A),
60', Ashford C. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
64', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Baradji M. ↑,
64', Morishita R. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
71', Colwill J. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
71', Robinson C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
74', Afolayan O. ↓, Kargbo A. ↑,
78', Bagan J. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
79', Lawlor D. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,
83', Montgomery K. ↓, Garrett J. ↑,
90+6', Cantwell T. 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 16th and 21st).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 3.
Blackburn has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cardiff has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Blackburn: Forshaw A.
(Hip Injury)
Jorgensen M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kargbo A.
(Muscle Injury)
Litherland M.
(Muscle Injury)
Miller L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ohashi Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ribeiro Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wharton S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury).
Confirmed absences for Cardiff: Chambers C.
(Knee Injury)
Colwill R.
(Health problems)
Davies I.
(Muscle Injury)
Fish W.
(Hernia)
Lawlor D.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:21 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Blackburn against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Blackburn
12
5
3
4
19:16
3
18
16
Cardiff
12
3
5
4
19:17
2
14
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Cardiff: 1.33% Blackburn: 1.29%
Last Results with these Odds
Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.18%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Cardiff City - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.08%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.