Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Blackburn Rovers		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.50	2.45	Watch
	2.60	3.70	2.45
	2.63	3.55	2.45
	2.70	3.61	2.51
	2.61	3.67	2.48	Watch
	2.65	3.55	2.45
	2.63	3.50	2.45	Watch
	2.60	3.55	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.61)	3.58 ↓ (3.67)	2.46 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
35.7%

Draw
26.2%

Cardiff City
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

25.7%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.2%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Cardiff City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 16th and 21st).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 3.

Blackburn has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cardiff has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:21 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Blackburn against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Cardiff: 1.1% Blackburn: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
21	Cardiff	8	1	4	3	10:12	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.18%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Cardiff City - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.08%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
19.09.26	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Blackburn Rovers - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Preston North End - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Lincoln City - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLLT
- Cardiff City
English League Championship
19.09.26	Cardiff City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
08.09.26	Cardiff City - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Portsmouth - Cardiff City	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.03.25	Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City	1:2
09.11.24	Cardiff City - Blackburn Rovers	1:3
20.02.24	Cardiff City - Blackburn Rovers	0:0
21.10.23	Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City	1:0
English League Cup
27.09.23	Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City	5:2
English League Championship
01.01.23	Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City	1:0
04.10.22	Cardiff City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0

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