Match Info

Championship - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	West Bromwich Albion		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.2
	2.12	3.35	3.54	Watch
	2.03	3.48	3.65	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.07	3.35	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.22)	3.36 ↓ (3.41)	3.53 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Bromwich Albion
45.4%

Draw
28%

Bristol City
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27.9%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

West Bromwich Albion - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 18 - 90%). Bristol City will win (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Bromwich: 76.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): West Bromwich Albion will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wildsmith J. (G) 6. Campbell G. 3. Phillips N. (C) 2. Mepham C. 29. Taylor C. 4. Styles C. 17. Diakite O. 11. Johnston M. 21. Price I. 10. Grant K. 19. Heggebo A.	1. O'Leary M. (G) 14. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 3. Pring C. 2. McCrorie R. 12. Knight J. (C) 4. Randell A. 21. Neto Borges 10. Twine S. 11. Mehmeti A. 18. Riis E.
Substitutes
37. Bostock O. 12. Dike D. 36. Diomande M. 44. Dupont N. 20. Griffiths J. (G) 22. Iling Junior S. 9. Maja J. 46. Mfuamba K. 27. Mowatt A.	30. Armstrong S. 5. Atkinson R. 7. Hirakawa Y. 13. Lumley J. (G) 29. Pecover L. 24. Roberts H. 26. Stokes J. 19. Tanner G. 36. Thomas O.
Coaches
Mason R.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Mehmeti A. ⚽, Neto Borges (A),
16', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
22', 0 - 2, McCrorie R. ⚽, Twine S. (A),
45+2', McCrorie R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Taylor C. ↓, Mowatt A. ↑,
58', Diakite O. 🟨,
62', Pring C. 🟨,
64', Neto Borges ↓, Atkinson R. ↑,
64', Mehmeti A. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
64', Price I. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
76', Riis E. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
76', McCrorie R. ↓, Tanner G. ↑,
77', Styles C. ↓, Dike D. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Diakite O. ⚽, Johnston M. (A),
90+3', Twine S. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

West Bromwich could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in West Bromwich: Collyer T. (Calf Injury) Gilchrist A. (Red Card) Wallace J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Sykes M. (Hip Injury) Vitek R. (Knee Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in West Bromwich: Bielik K. (Injury) Mowatt A. (Foot Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, West Bromwich won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
20.12.25	Hull City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	West Bromwich Albion - Sheffield United	2:0 ✺
09.12.25	Southampton - West Bromwich Albion	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - West Bromwich Albion	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- Bristol City
English League Championship
20.12.25	Bristol City - Middlesbrough	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Coventry City - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Bristol City - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Bristol City - Millwall	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Portsmouth - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.04.25	Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion	2:1
22.12.24	West Bromwich Albion - Bristol City	2:0
16.03.24	West Bromwich Albion - Bristol City	2:0
16.09.23	Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion	0:0
English FA Cup
28.01.23	Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion	3:0
English League Championship
26.12.22	Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion	0:2
18.10.22	West Bromwich Albion - Bristol City	0:2

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