Match Info

Championship - Round 20

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Southampton		West Bromwich Albion

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.92	4.11	Watch
	1.84	3.92	4.34
	1.75	3.92	4.43	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4
	1.83	3.74	3.94	Watch
	1.83	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.92)	3.81 ↓ (3.83)	4.17 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
52.8%

Draw
24.7%

West Bromwich Albion
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

24.6%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

25%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.1%	6.7%	2.2%

Southampton - West Bromwich Albion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - S`hampton (2.01) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - West Bromwich (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Southampton will win (41 of 45 users predict this - 91.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.79% – 99.43%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southampton will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 18 - 85.7%). West Bromwich (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bazunu G. (G) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 17. Quarshie J. 15. Wood N. 18. Fellows T. 4. Downes F. 20. Jander C. 3. Manning R. 10. Azaz F. 13. Scienza L. 9. Armstrong A. (C)	23. Wildsmith J. (G) 3. Phillips N. 5. Bielik K. 2. Mepham C. 4. Styles C. 17. Diakite O. 27. Mowatt A. (C) 22. Iling Junior S. 21. Price I. 10. Grant K. 19. Heggebo A.
Substitutes
19. Archer C. 7. Aribo J. 12. Edwards R. 26. Fraser R. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 46. Robinson J. 28. Romeu O. 5. Stephens J. 34. Welington	26. Bany T. 37. Bostock O. 6. Campbell G. 12. Dike D. 14. Gilchrist A. 20. Griffiths J. (G) 11. Johnston M. 9. Maja J. 8. Molumby J.
Coaches
Eckert T.	Mason R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', Diakite O. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Scienza L. ⚽, Fellows T. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Armstrong A. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Armstrong A. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
39', Mowatt A. ↓, Molumby J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Armstrong A. 🟨,
62', 3 - 1, Grant K. ⚽,
63', Fellows T. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
63', Scienza L. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
75', Armstrong A. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
76', Diakite O. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
78', Price I. 🟨,
86', 3 - 2, Phillips N. ⚽, Johnston M. (A),
87', Azaz F. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
87', Jander C. ↓, Romeu O. ↑,
89', Romeu O. 🟨,
89', Price I. ↓, Dike D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 3.

S`hampton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

West Bromwich's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, S`hampton is a strong favorite.

There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Hamstring Injury) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Jelert E. (Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in West Bromwich: Collyer T. (Calf Injury) Wallace J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Downs D. (Inactive)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
06.12.25	Southampton - Birmingham City	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Millwall - Southampton	3:2 ✺
25.11.25	Southampton - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Charlton Athletic - Southampton	1:5 ✺
08.11.25	Southampton - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWW
- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
06.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - West Bromwich Albion	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	3:2 ✺
26.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.05.24	Southampton - West Bromwich Albion	3:1
12.05.24	West Bromwich Albion - Southampton	0:0
16.02.24	West Bromwich Albion - Southampton	0:2
11.11.23	Southampton - West Bromwich Albion	2:1
English Premier League
12.04.21	West Bromwich Albion - Southampton	3:0
04.10.20	Southampton - West Bromwich Albion	2:0
English FA Cup
17.02.18	West Bromwich Albion - Southampton	1:2

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