Match Info

Championship - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	West Bromwich Albion		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.55	4.44	Watch
	1.83	3.56	4.76
	1.87	3.53	4.15	Watch
	1.8	3.44	4.52	Watch
	1.78	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.01)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	4.56 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Bromwich Albion
52.3%

Draw
26.9%

Swansea City
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

27.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

23.8%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in West Bromwich Albion's performance.

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swansea City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with West Bromwich Albion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swansea City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - West Bromwich (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - West Bromwich (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: West Bromwich Albion will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Griffiths J. (G) 14. Gilchrist A. 3. Phillips N. 2. Mepham C. 4. Styles C. 8. Molumby J. 27. Mowatt A. (C) 22. Iling Junior S. 21. Price I. 11. Johnston M. 19. Heggebo A.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 15. Burgess C. 5. Cabango B. (C) 14. Tymon J. 6. Stamenic M. 30. Galbraith E. 10. Eom J. 27. Inoussa Z. 17. Franco G. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Substitutes
26. Bany T. 5. Bielik K. 6. Campbell G. 17. Diakite O. 12. Dike D. 10. Grant K. 9. Maja J. 29. Taylor C. 23. Wildsmith J. (G)	26. Casey K. 20. Cullen L. 1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Fulton J. 33. Idah A. 35. Ronald 16. Samuels-Smith I. 23. Santos R. 7. Widell M.
Coaches
Mason R.	Emanuel Soares Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Franco G. (A),
11', 0 - 2, Galbraith E. ⚽, Franco G. (A),
32', Phillips N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Iling Junior S. ↓, Grant K. ↑,
46', Price I. ↓, Maja J. ↑,
46', Gilchrist A. ↓, Campbell G. ↑,
46', Phillips N. ↓, Bielik K. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Heggebo A. ⚽, Mowatt A. (A),
52', 2 - 2, Heggebo A. ⚽, Campbell G. (A),
54', Eom J. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
55', Inoussa Z. ↓, Ronald ↑,
65', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
65', Key J. 🟨,
76', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
76', Key J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
84', Cullen L. 🟨,
85', 3 - 2, Molumby J. ⚽, Maja J. (A),
90+2', Heggebo A. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 17 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 2.

Recent performances by West Bromwich have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Swansea has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

West Bromwich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, West Bromwich is considered a favorite.

There will not play in West Bromwich: Wallace J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in West Bromwich: Collyer T. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, West Bromwich won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
26.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Charlton Athletic - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Sheffield Wednesday	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWLT
- Swansea City
English League Championship
25.11.25	Swansea City - Derby County	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Bristol City - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Swansea City - Ipswich Town	1:4 ✺
05.11.25	Preston North End - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Charlton Athletic - Swansea City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.01.25	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	1:1
31.08.24	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	1:0
01.01.24	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0
12.08.23	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	3:2
08.05.23	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	3:2
01.10.22	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	2:3
28.02.22	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	0:2

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