Match Info

Championship - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Portsmouth		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.71	3.34	2.61	Watch
	2.78	3.37	2.66
	2.75	3.46	2.46	Watch
	2.83	3.39	2.62	Watch
	2.66	3.33	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.75)	3.37 ↓ (3.46)	2.59 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
34.8%

Draw
28.3%

Bristol City
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.3%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	23.1%	46.2%

Portsmouth - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Bristol City will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bristol City (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Portsmouth (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 25%). Bristol City (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmid N. (G) 2. Williams J. 4. Knight J. 5. Poole R. 22. Swanson Z. 7. Pack M. (C) 21. Dozzell A. 49. Lang C. 10. Segecic A. 23. Murphy J. 9. Bishop C.	23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 16. Dickie R. (C) 14. Vyner Z. 2. McCrorie R. 17. Sykes M. 4. Randell A. 21. Neto Borges 10. Twine S. 11. Mehmeti A. 18. Riis E.
Substitutes
11. Bianchini F. 17. Bowat I. 26. Bursik J. (G) 36. Chaplin C. 25. Kirk M. 18. Kosznovszky M. 14. Matthews H. 8. Swift J. 47. Yang Min-Hyuk	30. Armstrong S. 7. Hirakawa Y. 9. Mayulu F. 34. Meerholz J. 31. Morrison E. 1. O'Leary M. (G) 3. Pring C. 24. Roberts H. 25. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Mehmeti A. ⚽, Neto Borges (A),
31', Dozzell A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Poole R. 🟨,
52', Murphy J. 🟨,
53', Dozzell A. ↓, Kosznovszky M. ↑,
62', Riis E. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
72', Lang C. ↓, Kirk M. ↑,
81', Segecic A. ↓, Yang Min-Hyuk ↑,
81', Williams J. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
82', Swanson Z. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
90+3', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Hamstring Injury) Devlin T. (Red Card) Farrell J. (Groin Injury) Ogilvie C. (Knee Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Hamstring Injury) Bird M. (Calf Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Portsmouth - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.33%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Bristol City - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.38%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
26.11.25	Sheffield United - Portsmouth	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Portsmouth - Millwall	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Hull City - Portsmouth	3:2 ✺
05.11.25	Portsmouth - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Birmingham City - Portsmouth	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTL
- Bristol City
English League Championship
26.11.25	Wrexham - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bristol City - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Watford - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Stoke City - Bristol City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.12.24	Bristol City - Portsmouth	3:0
07.12.24	Portsmouth - Bristol City	3:0
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Portsmouth - Bristol City	0:1
20.07.21	Bristol City - Portsmouth	3:3
English FA Cup
10.01.21	Bristol City - Portsmouth	2:1
Club Friendly
30.07.16	Bristol City - Portsmouth	0:0
English League Championship
17.03.12	Portsmouth - Bristol City	0:0

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