Match Info

Championship - Round 20

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Bristol City		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.17	3.53	3.24	Watch
	2.27	3.48	3.35
	2.2	3.49	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.2
	2.25	3.3	3.13	Watch
	2.28	3.4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.23)	3.39 ↓ (3.49)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
42.5%

Draw
28%

Leicester City
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

27%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	45.5%	13.6%

Bristol City - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Leicester will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 25%). Leicester (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Leicester (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Leicester (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 16. Dickie R. (C) 14. Vyner Z. 2. McCrorie R. 4. Randell A. 17. Sykes M. 3. Pring C. 10. Twine S. 18. Riis E. 11. Mehmeti A.	1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 17. Choudhury H. (C) 4. Nelson B. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 6. James J. 22. Skipp O. 7. Fatawu I. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Ayew J.
Substitutes
30. Armstrong S. 27. Cornick H. 7. Hirakawa Y. 12. Knight J. 9. Mayulu F. 34. Meerholz J. 21. Neto Borges 1. O'Leary M. (G) 24. Roberts H.	56. Aluko O. 31. Begovic A. (G) 18. Carranza J. 20. Daka P. 65. Evans J. 3. Faes W. 25. Page L. 21. Pereira R. 39. Thomas S.
Coaches
Struber G.	Cifuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', Fatawu I. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Ayew J. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Twine S. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, De Cordova-Reid B. ⚽, Fatawu I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Twine S. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
46', Vyner Z. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
46', 1 - 2, Sykes M. ⚽,
50', Nelson B. 🟨,
59', James J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
64', Stolarczyk J. 🟨,
64', Pring C. 🟨,
66', Pring C. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
70', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Aluko O. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Riis E. ⚽, McCrorie R. (A),
84', Mavididi S. ↓, Page L. ↑,
84', Fatawu I. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 9 and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bristol City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bristol City might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Hamstring Injury) Bird M. (Calf Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Leicester: Kristiansen V. (Knock) Okoli C. (Knee Injury) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Soumare B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
06.12.25	Bristol City - Millwall	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Portsmouth - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
26.11.25	Wrexham - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bristol City - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Watford - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWT
- Leicester City
English League Championship
06.12.25	Derby County - Leicester City	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Leicester City - Sheffield United	2:3 ✺
25.11.25	Southampton - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Leicester City - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Norwich City - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.03.24	Bristol City - Leicester City	1:0
23.09.23	Leicester City - Bristol City	1:0
12.01.13	Bristol City - Leicester City	0:4
06.10.12	Leicester City - Bristol City	2:0
06.03.12	Bristol City - Leicester City	N/A

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