Match Info

Championship - Round 45

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 360
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
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Canada	DAZN Canada
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Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8
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Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Kenya	Gotv
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Poland	Viaplay
Singapore	mio Sports 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Luton Town		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	3	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.85
	2.41	3.34	2.95
	2.41	3.35	3.12
	2.39	3.32	3.03	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.8
	2.5	3.4	2.97	Watch
	2.41	3.34	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.42)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	2.96 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
39.3%

Draw
28.5%

Coventry City
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.3%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	28%	20%

Luton Town - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Coventry will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0, 1st Half - Luton (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 28. Makosso C. 6. McGuinness M. 15. Mengi T. 25. Jones I. 22. Dabo L. 20. Walsh L. 3. Bell A. 21. Alli M. 9. Morris C. (C) 8. Aasgaard T.	40. Collins B. (G) 2. Binks L. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 6. Grimes M. 14. Sheaf B. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 5. Rudoni J. 11. Wright H. 9. Simms E.
Substitutes
26. Baptiste S. 16. Burke R. 14. Chong T. 18. Clark J. 23. Krul T. (G) 12. Naismith K. 13. Nakamba M. 37. Nelson Z. 44. Nordas L.	8. Allen J. 21. Bidwell J. 17. Borges Rodrigues R. 32. Burroughs J. 28. Eccles J. 39. Isaac M. 12. Paterson J. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 13. Wilson B. (G)
Coaches
Bloomfield M.	Lampard F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Dasilva J. 🟥,
15', Sakamoto T. ↓, Bidwell J. ↑,
45+5', Binks L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Makosso C. ↓, Naismith K. ↑,
57', Dabo L. ↓, Clark J. ↑,
57', Collins B. 🟨,
63', Simms E. ↓, Eccles J. ↑,
65', Walsh L. 🟨,
68', Walsh L. 🟥,
69', Morris C. 🟨,
70', Sheaf B. 🟨,
77', Bell A. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
84', Grimes M. 🟨,
85', Eccles J. 🟨,
86', Jones I. 🟨,
86', Mengi T. ↓, Burke R. ↑,
86', Alli M. ↓, Chong T. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Baptiste S. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Binks L. ↓, Thomas-Asante B. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Doughty A. (Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Torp V. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Coventry: Mason-Clark E. (Toe Injury) Thomas B. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Luton won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:14 (average 1.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:6 (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English League Championship
21.04.25	Luton Town - Bristol City	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Derby County - Luton Town	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Luton Town - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
08.04.25	Stoke City - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Luton Town - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLTT
- Coventry City
English League Championship
21.04.25	Plymouth Argyle - Coventry City	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Hull City - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Coventry City - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Coventry City - Burnley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.10.24	Coventry City - Luton Town	3:2
27.05.23	Coventry City - Luton Town	1:2 penalties
11.02.23	Coventry City - Luton Town	1:1
14.09.22	Luton Town - Coventry City	2:2
08.03.22	Coventry City - Luton Town	0:1
29.09.21	Luton Town - Coventry City	5:0
16.03.21	Luton Town - Coventry City	2:0

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