What is the expert prediction for Bristol City vs Swansea City?

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Bristol City vs Swansea City Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, November 22, 2025)

Match Info

Championship - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Bristol City		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.99	3.57	3.72	Watch
	2.25	3.35	3.56
	2.24	3.26	3.28	Watch
	1.98	3.62	4.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.24)	3.46 ↑ (3.26)	3.7 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
46.4%

Draw
27.7%

Swansea City
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

28.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	16%	12%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bristol City will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 16. Dickie R. (C) 14. Vyner Z. 2. McCrorie R. 10. Twine S. 4. Randell A. 11. Mehmeti A. 21. Neto Borges 30. Armstrong S. 18. Riis E.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 26. Casey K. 15. Burgess C. (C) 35. Ronald 6. Stamenic M. 30. Galbraith E. 16. Samuels-Smith I. 10. Eom J. 20. Cullen L. 33. Idah A.
Substitutes
7. Hirakawa Y. 12. Knight J. 9. Mayulu F. 31. Morrison E. 1. O'Leary M. (G) 3. Pring C. 24. Roberts H. 17. Sykes M. 36. Thomas O.	1. Fisher A. (G) 17. Franco G. 4. Fulton J. 27. Inoussa Z. 21. Manuel Hedilazio B. 23. Santos R. 9. Vipotnik Z. 7. Widell M. 8. Yalcouye M.
Coaches
Struber G.	O'Dea D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Dickie R. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Riis E. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', McCrorie R. 🟨,
52', Randell A. 🟨,
58', McCrorie R. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
58', Riis E. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
65', Stamenic M. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
65', Eom J. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
65', Cullen L. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
68', Samuels-Smith I. ↓, Santos R. ↑,
72', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
72', Neto Borges ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
78', Key J. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Hirakawa Y. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
84', Armstrong S. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 2.

Bristol City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Swansea's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bristol City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Hamstring Injury) Bird M. (Calf Injury) Cornick H. (Knee Injury) Knight J. (Groin Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Sykes M. (Shin Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Swansea: Cabango B. (Yellow Cards) Tymon J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Bristol City: Neto Borges (Calf Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.8:0.6).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
07.11.25	Watford - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Stoke City - Bristol City	5:1 ✺
25.10.25	Bristol City - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Bristol City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLWW
- Swansea City
English League Championship
08.11.25	Swansea City - Ipswich Town	1:4 ✺
05.11.25	Preston North End - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Charlton Athletic - Swansea City	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Swansea City - Manchester City	1:3 ✺
English League Championship
25.10.25	Swansea City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.02.25	Bristol City - Swansea City	0:1
29.09.24	Swansea City - Bristol City	1:1
10.03.24	Bristol City - Swansea City	1:0
02.09.23	Swansea City - Bristol City	1:2
19.03.23	Swansea City - Bristol City	2:0
English FA Cup
17.01.23	Swansea City - Bristol City	1:2 ET
08.01.23	Bristol City - Swansea City	1:1

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