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Current Win Probability
Bristol City 46.4%
Draw 27.7%
Swansea City 25.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.2%
29%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
28.9%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72%
16%
12%
Bristol City - Swansea City Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 54.4% โ 89.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bristol City will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 16. Dickie R. (C) 14. Vyner Z. 2. McCrorie R. 10. Twine S. 4. Randell A. 11. Mehmeti A. 21. Neto Borges 30. Armstrong S. 18. Riis E.
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 26. Casey K. 15. Burgess C. (C) 35. Ronald 6. Stamenic M. 30. Galbraith E. 16. Samuels-Smith I. 10. Eom J. 20. Cullen L. 33. Idah A.
Substitutes
7. Hirakawa Y. 12. Knight J. 9. Mayulu F. 31. Morrison E. 1. O'Leary M. (G) 3. Pring C. 24. Roberts H. 17. Sykes M. 36. Thomas O.
1. Fisher A. (G) 17. Franco G. 4. Fulton J. 27. Inoussa Z. 21. Manuel Hedilazio B. 23. Santos R. 9. Vipotnik Z. 7. Widell M. 8. Yalcouye M.
Coaches
Struber G.
O'Dea D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Dickie R. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Riis E. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', McCrorie R. 🟨,
52', Randell A. 🟨,
58', McCrorie R. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
58', Riis E. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
65', Stamenic M. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
65', Eom J. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
65', Cullen L. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
68', Samuels-Smith I. ↓, Santos R. ↑,
72', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
72', Neto Borges ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
78', Key J. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Hirakawa Y. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
84', Armstrong S. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 2.
Bristol City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Swansea's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Bristol City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Bird M.
(Calf Injury)
Cornick H.
(Knee Injury)
Knight J.
(Groin Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
Pring C.
(Ankle Injury)
Stokes J.
(Foot Injury)
Sykes M.
(Shin Injury)
Williams J.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Cabango B.
(Yellow Cards)
Tymon J.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Bristol City: Neto Borges
(Calf Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.8:0.6).
United Kingdom
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Vitek R. (G) 
Tanner G. 
Vyner Z. 
McCrorie R. 
Mehmeti A. 
Neto Borges 
Armstrong S. 
Riis E. 
Vigouroux L. (G) 
Burgess C. (C) 
Stamenic M. 
Galbraith E. 
Eom J. 
Cullen L. 
Hirakawa Y. 
Mayulu F. 
Franco G. 
Inoussa Z. 
Manuel Hedilazio B. 
Santos R. 
Vipotnik Z. 
Yalcouye M. 
Struber G. 
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