Match Info

Championship - Round 14

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Deepdale (Preston)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+


	Preston North End		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3.4	Watch
	2.28	3.16	3.36	Watch
	2.31	3.15	3.52
	2.40	3.23	3.02	Watch
	2.31	3.06	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.4)	3.12 ↓ (3.23)	3.32 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
41.2%

Draw
30.3%

Swansea City
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

30.2%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	4.8%	23.8%

Preston North End - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Swansea will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Preston (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Preston (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 8 - 80%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iversen D. (G) 14. Storey J. 6. Lindsay L. 16. Hughes A. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 42. Offiah O. 26. Small T. 5. Armstrong H. 21. Devine A. 17. Dobbin L. 28. Osmajic M.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 26. Casey K. 7. Widell M. 17. Franco G. 30. Galbraith E. 20. Cullen L. 33. Idah A.
Substitutes
10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 18. Lewis J. 35. Mawene N. 36. Nolan E. 24. Smith M. 15. Thompson J. 22. Thordarson S. T. 12. Walton J. (G) 38. Wilson M.	10. Eom J. 1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Fulton J. 21. Manuel Hedilazio B. 35. Ronald 16. Samuels-Smith I. 23. Santos R. 9. Vipotnik Z. 8. Yalcouye M.
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.	Sheehan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Small T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Whiteman B. 🟨,
49', 2 - 0, Osmajic M. ⚽, Armstrong H. (A),
54', Armstrong H. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,
54', Dobbin L. ↓, Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↑,
58', Key J. ↓, Ronald ↑,
59', Widell M. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
61', Small T. 🟨,
68', Devine A. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
69', Small T. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
69', Casey K. ↓, Samuels-Smith I. ↑,
75', Franco G. ↓, Eom J. ↑,
76', Cullen L. ↓, Manuel Hedilazio B. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Eom J. ⚽, Samuels-Smith I. (A),
82', Hughes A. 🟨,
90+2', Samuels-Smith I. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Swansea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Preston might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Gibson L. (Injury) Keane W. (Muscle Injury) McCann A. (Broken Hand) Potts B. (Muscle Injury) Thompson J. (Ankle Injury) Valentin P. (Hamstring Injury) Vukcevic A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Swansea: Franco G. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Preston won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Preston North End - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Swansea City - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 31.32%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
01.11.25	Southampton - Preston North End	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Preston North End - Sheffield United	3:2 ✺
21.10.25	Preston North End - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	West Bromwich Albion - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Preston North End - Charlton Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWLLW
- Swansea City
English League Championship
01.11.25	Charlton Athletic - Swansea City	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Swansea City - Manchester City	1:3 ✺
English League Championship
25.10.25	Swansea City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Southampton - Swansea City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.03.25	Preston North End - Swansea City	0:0
17.08.24	Swansea City - Preston North End	3:0
22.12.23	Swansea City - Preston North End	2:1
26.08.23	Preston North End - Swansea City	2:1
19.04.23	Swansea City - Preston North End	4:2
01.11.22	Preston North End - Swansea City	1:0
22.01.22	Swansea City - Preston North End	1:0

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