The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
West Ham United 60.5%
Draw 23.7%
AZ Alkmaar 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
24.2%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
24.3%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
79.7%
4.7%
15.6%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
West Ham United will win
(51 of 64 users predict this - 79.69%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.83% – 89.55%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
1st leg.
West Ham has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, a good chance of final (59%), a chance of win league (32%).
AZ has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, a chance of final (41%), a chance of win league (19%).
This event has quality68, very big importance100, big match rating84. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches West Ham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
AZ is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
AZ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match West Ham is a favorite.
There will not play in West Ham: Coufal V.
(Thigh Injury)
Scamacca G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in AZ: Kerkez M.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in West Ham: Zouma K.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in AZ: Karlsson J.
(Injury)
Martins Indi B.
(Hip Injury)
Odgaard J.
(Thigh Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
de Wit D.
(Leg Injury)
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