The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Anderlecht 35.8%
Draw 29.4%
AZ Alkmaar 34.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.5%
28.5%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
29.8%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
30%
50%
Anderlecht - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 8 - 20%). AZ will win (votes: 20 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 34.5% โ 65.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
1st leg.
Anderlecht has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a chance of semis (41%), a small chance of final (13%), a very small chance of win league (5%).
AZ has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a good chance of semis (59%), a chance of final (24%), a small chance of win league (10%).
This event has quality59, very big importance100, big match rating79. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Anderlecht in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches AZ is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently AZ have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Anderlecht: Trebel A.
(Injury)
Verschaeren Y.
(Health problems)
There will not play in AZ: Dekker M.
(Injury)
Martins Indi B.
(Hip Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
de Wit D.
(Leg Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Anderlecht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Anderlecht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.