The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AZ Alkmaar 56.3%
Draw 24.5%
Anderlecht 19.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.3%
24%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
22.8%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.7%
4.1%
5.2%
AZ Alkmaar - Anderlecht Predictions
Users Predictions:
AZ Alkmaar will win
(88 of 97 users predict this - 90.72%). Confidence interval (95%): 84.95% โ 96.49%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
AZ has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a chance of semis (23%), a small chance of final (10%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
Anderlecht has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a good chance of semis (77%), a chance of final (22%), a small chance of win league (7%).
This event has quality59, very big importance100, big match rating79. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
AZ is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Anderlecht is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match AZ is a favorite.
There will not play in AZ: Karlsson J.
(Injury)
Martins Indi B.
(Hip Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
de Wit D.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Anderlecht: Raman B.
(Injury)
Verschaeren Y.
(Health problems)
Last 3 head-to-head matches AZ won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams AZ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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