Chelsea - Crystal Palace: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 1
  • Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday
  • Location: Stamford Bridge (London)
  • Referee: England D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Chelsea Crystal Palace
    Chelsea Crystal Palace
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.56)
    4.07
    (4.48)
    4.78
    (5.89)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Chelsea
    56.4%
    Draw
    23.5%
    Crystal Palace
    20%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    62.1% 21.6% 16.4%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chelsea's form might have worsened.
  • Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    91.4% 5.7% 2.9%
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    Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.75 - Chelsea (3.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Chelsea (1.21) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5, 2nd Half - Chelsea (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Chelsea (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Chelsea (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (61 of 67 users predict this - 91.04%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.2%97.88%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (26 of 27 users predict this - 96.3%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 44 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 41 - 93.2%). Crystal Palace (votes: 2 - 4.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SpainSanchez R. (G)
    24. EnglandJames R. (C)
    34. EnglandAcheampong J.
    23. EnglandChalobah T.
      3. SpainCucurella M.
    25. EcuadorCaicedo M.
      8. ArgentinaFernandez E.
      7. PortugalNeto P.
    10. EnglandPalmer C.
    11. EnglandGittens J.
    20. BrazilJoao Pedro
      1. EnglandHenderson D. (G)
    26. USARichards C.
      5. FranceLacroix M.
      6. EnglandGuehi M. (C)
      2. ColombiaMunoz D.
    20. EnglandWharton A.
    19. EnglandHughes W.
      3. EnglandMitchell T.
      7. SenegalSarr I.
    10. EnglandEze E.
    14. FranceMateta J.
    Substitutes
    17. BrazilAndrey Santos
      9. EnglandDelap L.
    14. PortugalEssugo D.
    41. BrazilEstevao
    29. FranceFofana W.
    32. EnglandGeorge T.
    27. FranceGusto M.
    21. NetherlandsHato J.
    12. DenmarkJorgensen F. (G)
    44. ArgentinaBenitez W. (G)
    59. TrinidadCardines R.
    17. EnglandClyne N.
    55. NorthernDevenny J.
    22. FranceEdouard O.
    21. EnglandEsse R.
      8. ColombiaLerma J.
    49. EnglandRak-Sakyi J.
    24. CroatiaSosa B.
    Coaches
         ItalyMaresca E.
         AustriaGlasner O.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 24', James R. 🟨,
    • 28', Munoz D. 🟨,
    • 33', Mateta J. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 49', Hughes W. 🟨,
    • 54', Gittens J. , Estevao ,
    • 70', Hughes W. , Lerma J. ,
    • 73', Joao Pedro , Delap L. ,
    • 74', Estevao 🟨,
    • 79', James R. , Gusto M. ,
    • 79', Fernandez E. , Andrey Santos ,
    • 84', Eze E. , Devenny J. ,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 3.
  • Chelsea has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Chelsea is the team to beat.
  • There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Knock) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Jackson N. (Red Card) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Lavia R. (Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
  • There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kamada D. (Knee Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Matheus Franca (Muscle Injury) Nketiah E. (Muscle Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Chelsea: Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury)
  • We predict that Chelsea will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:14. (average 2.1:0.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:6. (average 2.1:0.6).
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    Last Results with these Odds

    Chelsea - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 62.06%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Chelsea
    Club Friendly
    10.08.25 Chelsea - Milan 4:1
    08.08.25 Chelsea - Bayer Leverkusen 2:0
    FIFA Club World Cup
    13.07.25 Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain 3:0
    08.07.25 Fluminense - Chelsea 0:2
    04.07.25 Palmeiras - Chelsea 1:2
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4
    WWWWW
    - Crystal Palace
    English FA Community Shield
    10.08.25 Crystal Palace - Liverpool 3:2 penalties
    Club Friendly
    01.08.25 Augsburg - Crystal Palace 1:3
    25.07.25 Crawley Town - Crystal Palace 0:3
    12.07.25 Crystal Palace - Millwall 1:0
    English Premier League
    25.05.25 Liverpool - Crystal Palace 1:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9
    WWWWT
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    04.01.25 Crystal Palace - Chelsea 1:1
    01.09.24 Chelsea - Crystal Palace 1:1
    12.02.24 Crystal Palace - Chelsea 1:3
    27.12.23 Chelsea - Crystal Palace 2:1
    15.01.23 Chelsea - Crystal Palace 1:0
    01.10.22 Crystal Palace - Chelsea 1:2
    English FA Cup
    17.04.22 Chelsea - Crystal Palace 2:0
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Chelsea
    English League Cup
    27.08.26 Chelsea - Luton Town
    English Premier League
    24.08.26 Fulham - Chelsea
    - Crystal Palace
    English Premier League
    22.08.26 Everton - Crystal Palace