What is the expert prediction for Westerlo vs Standard Liège?

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Westerlo vs Standard Liège Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, May 19, 2026)

Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 39

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Het Kuipje (Westerlo)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza


	Westerlo		Standard Liège

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.65	3.05	Watch
	2.19	3.78	3.3
	2.13	3.67	3.21	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.14	3.74	3.2	Watch
	1.91	3.45	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.03)	3.63 ↓ (3.77)	3.18 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Westerlo
44.6%

Draw
25.9%

Standard Liège
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.3%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

25.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Standard will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Standard (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Standard (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Standard (2.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Standard (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Jungdal A. (G) 22. Reynolds B. 40. Bayram E. 5. Kimura S. 23. Mbamba-Muanda L. 34. Haspolat D. (C) 46. Piedfort A. 7. Sayyadmanesh A. 13. Sakamoto I. 77. Alcocer J. 90. Nacho	1. Epolo M. (G) 13. Fossey M. (C) 18. Lawrence H. 4. Bates D. 25. Hautekiet I. 3. Mortensen G. 11. Abid A. 20. Karamoko I. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 17. Said R. 59. Nkada T.
Substitutes
94. Destan E. 12. Laalaoui R. 4. Lapage A. 33. Neustadter R. 10. Patrao A. 38. Saito S. 17. Smekens R. 39. Van den Keybus T. 30. Van Langendonck K. (G)	53. Assengue S. 29. Dierckx D. 10. Eckert Ayensa D. 8. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 7. Mohr T. 26. Nguene B. 94. Nielsen C. 21. Pirard L. (G) 80. Teuma T.
Coaches
Charai I.	Euvrard V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 1 - 0, Haspolat D. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Nkada T. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 1 - 2, Said R. ⚽,
45+2', Kimura S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Fossey M. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
63', Mbamba-Muanda L. ↓, Saito S. ↑,
63', Piedfort A. 🟨,
78', Piedfort A. ↓, Laalaoui R. ↑,
78', Sakamoto I. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
78', Abid A. ↓, Eckert Ayensa D. ↑,
78', Nkada T. ↓, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↑,
79', Dierckx D. ↓, Teuma T. ↑,
88', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 🟨,
89', Nacho ↓, Patrao A. ↑,
90', Said R. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
90+1', Mohr T. 🟨,
90+7', Destan E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Westerlo might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Westerlo: Bujupi E. (Knee Injury) Ourega D. (Inactive) Sayyadmanesh A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Standard: El Hankouri M. (Inactive) Homawoo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:13. (average 2.1:1.3).

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	St. Liege	2	0	2	0	5:5	0	2
16	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	3:8	-5	0

Last Results with these Odds

Westerlo - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 47.06%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.05.26	Charleroi - Westerlo	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Genk - Westerlo	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Westerlo - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Westerlo - Royal Antwerp	2:4 ✺
21.04.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLTLW
- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.05.26	Standard Liège - Genk	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Royal Antwerp - Standard Liège	0:5 ✺
25.04.26	Genk - Standard Liège	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.04.26	Standard Liège - Westerlo	1:2
22.03.26	Standard Liège - Westerlo	0:0
21.09.25	Westerlo - Standard Liège	0:2
24.05.25	Westerlo - Standard Liège	0:0
19.04.25	Standard Liège - Westerlo	1:1
09.02.25	Westerlo - Standard Liège	4:2
28.09.24	Standard Liège - Westerlo	1:2

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